Brasileiro | Gameweek 4
May 7, 2023 at 8pm UK
Arena de Baixada
Athletico PR2 - 1Flamengo
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Athletico Paranaense and Flamengo.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Libertad 1-2 Athletico PR
Friday, May 5 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Friday, May 5 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Racing 1-1 Flamengo
Thursday, May 4 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Thursday, May 4 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 36.91%. A win for Flamengo had a probability of 36.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (6.28%). The likeliest Flamengo win was 0-1 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Athletico Paranaense | Draw | Flamengo |
36.91% ( 0.43) | 26.34% ( -0.11) | 36.75% ( -0.32) |
| Both teams to score 53.1% ( 0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.38% ( 0.45) | 51.61% ( -0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.6% ( 0.39) | 73.4% ( -0.39) |
| Athletico Paranaense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.91% ( 0.47) | 27.08% ( -0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.54% ( 0.61) | 62.46% ( -0.6) |
| Flamengo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.82% ( 0.03) | 27.17% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.42% ( 0.03) | 62.58% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
Athletico Paranaense 36.91%
Flamengo 36.75%
Draw 26.33%
| Athletico Paranaense | Draw | Flamengo |
| 1-0 @ 9.61% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 8.18% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 6.28% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 3.56% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 2.73% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.32% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.16% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.06% Total : 36.91% | 1-1 @ 12.52% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 7.36% ( -0.13)2-2 @ 5.33% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.33% | 0-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 8.16% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 6.25% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 3.54% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.15% ( -0)Other @ 3.03% Total : 36.75% |
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2022 9pm
Aug 18, 2022 1.30am
Quarter-Finals 2nd Leg
Athletico PR
0-1
Flamengo
Jul 28, 2022 1.30am
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
Flamengo
0-0
Athletico PR
Apr 23, 2022 8.30pm
gameweek 3
Athletico PR
1-0
Flamengo
Form Guide
