MX23RW : Sunday, November 24 10:14:19| >> :600:2339074:2339074:
Copa Libertadores WWW header

Copa Libertadores
Flamengo
Copa Libertadores | Final
Oct 29, 2022 at 9pm UK
Estadio Monumental Banco Pichincha
Athletico Paranaense

Flamengo
1 - 0
Athletico PR

Barbosa (45+4')
De Arrascaeta (68'), Vidal (75')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Henrique (28'), Santana (43'), Cardoso (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Copa Libertadores clash between Flamengo and Athletico Paranaense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Flamengo

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Flamengo 3-2 Santos
Wednesday, October 26 at 1.45am in Brasileiro

Athletico Paranaense

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Athletico PR 1-3 Palmeiras
Wednesday, October 26 at 1.45am in Brasileiro

We said: Flamengo 2-1 Athletico Paranaense

 Although we expect Saturday's final to be a closely-fought contest, we think Flamengo's recent experience of reaching the latter stages of the Copa Libertadores will help beat Athletico PR. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 61.29%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 16.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.76%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Flamengo in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Flamengo.

Result
FlamengoDrawAthletico Paranaense
61.29% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02) 22.32% (0.0030000000000001 0) 16.4% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 47.28% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.73% (0.024999999999999 0.02)50.27% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.78% (0.023 0.02)72.22% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.07%15.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.8% (0.0019999999999953 0)45.2% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.24% (0.042999999999999 0.04)43.76% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.07% (0.035 0.04)79.93% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Flamengo 61.28%
    Athletico Paranaense 16.4%
    Draw 22.32%
FlamengoDrawAthletico Paranaense
1-0 @ 12.8% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 11.76% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.72% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 7.2% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.95% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 3.31% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 2.73% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.46% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 1.22% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.13% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1%
Other @ 2%
Total : 61.28%
1-1 @ 10.58%
0-0 @ 6.97% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.02% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 22.32%
0-1 @ 5.76% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 4.37% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.38% (0.0029999999999997 0)
1-3 @ 1.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.11% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 16.4%

How you voted: Flamengo vs Athletico PR

Flamengo
82.1%
Draw
10.7%
Athletico Paranaense
7.1%
28
Head to Head
Aug 18, 2022 1.30am
Athletico PR
0-1
Flamengo

Terans (23'), Fernandinho (78'), Moura (79'), Henrique (90+2')
Pedro (57')
Gomes (29')
Aug 14, 2022 8pm
Flamengo
5-0
Athletico PR
Bruno (56', 59'), Lucas (63'), Lazaro (72'), Pedro (90+2')
Pablo (43'), Souza (44'), Maia (49')

Bueno (54'), Santana (66')
Jul 28, 2022 1.30am
Flamengo
0-0
Athletico PR

Barbosa (41'), Maia (87'), De Arrascaeta (90+1'), Pereira (90+6')
Luiz (90+7')

Bento (23'), Erick (38'), Fernandinho (41'), Cittadini (86'), Felipe (90+6')
Apr 23, 2022 8.30pm
Athletico PR
1-0
Flamengo
Terans (32' pen.)
Felipe (41'), Manuel Orejuela (49'), Christian (85'), Halter (87')

Pablo (55'), Marinho (70')
Nov 2, 2021 7pm
Athletico PR
2-2
Flamengo
Kayzer (63'), Bissoli (90+5')
Terans (5'), Heleno (21'), Kayzer (35'), Hernandez (70')
Barbosa (17', 29')
Pereira (27'), Pereira (76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
6pm
Vikings
@
Bears
6pm
Lions
@
Colts
6pm
Patriots
@
Dolphins
6pm
Buccaneers
@
Giants
6pm
Chiefs
@
Panthers
6pm
Titans
@
Texans
6pm
Cowboys
@
Washington
9.05pm
Broncos
@
Raiders
9.25pm
49ers
@
Packers
9.25pm
Cardinals
@
Seahawks
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City127232217523
3Chelsea126422314922
4Arsenal126422112922
5Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton126422116522
6Tottenham HotspurSpurs1261527131419
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest125431513219
8Aston Villa125431919019
9Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
10Fulham125341717018
11Brentford125252222017
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
13Bournemouth124351617-115
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Everton122551017-711
16Leicester CityLeicester122461523-810
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves122372028-89
18Crystal Palace121561017-78
19Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
20Southampton11119721-144
> Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!