MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 13:00:38| >> :300:86500:86500:
Botafogo logo
Brasileiro | Gameweek 13
Jul 2, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Nilton Santos
Vasco da Gama

Botafogo
2 - 0
Vasco

Henrique (53'), Alberto (90+5')
Adryelson (41'), Segovia (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Pele (19'), Bambu (19'), Orellano (60'), Rayan (86'), Piton (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Botafogo and Vasco da Gama, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Botafogo

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Botafogo 1-1 Magallanes
Friday, June 30 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana

Vasco da Gama

All competitions
Last Game: Vasco 1-0 Cuiaba
Tuesday, June 27 at 1am in Brasileiro

We said: Botafogo 2-0 Vasco da Gama

 Vasco da Gama will be feeling a lot better about themselves following the 1-0 win over Cuiaba, but this is a different test entirely, and we are finding it very difficult to predict anything other than a comfortable home success on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 64.93%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 13.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.96%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for a Vasco da Gama win it was 0-1 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Botafogo in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Botafogo.

Result
BotafogoDrawVasco da Gama
64.93% (0.616 0.62) 21.33% (-0.238 -0.24) 13.74% (-0.376 -0.38)
Both teams to score 44.15% (-0.239 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.85% (0.203 0.2)51.15% (-0.2 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.01% (0.178 0.18)73% (-0.17500000000001 -0.18)
Botafogo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.96% (0.26700000000001 0.27)15.04% (-0.264 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.47% (0.501 0.5)43.53% (-0.498 -0.5)
Vasco da Gama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.97% (-0.44499999999999 -0.44)48.04% (0.44799999999999 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.75% (-0.328 -0.33)83.26% (0.33200000000001 0.33)
Score Analysis
    Botafogo 64.92%
    Vasco da Gama 13.74%
    Draw 21.33%
BotafogoDrawVasco da Gama
1-0 @ 13.68% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 12.96% (0.13 0.13)
2-1 @ 9.51% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 8.19% (0.159 0.16)
3-1 @ 6% (0.042 0.04)
4-0 @ 3.88% (0.111 0.11)
4-1 @ 2.84% (0.046 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.2% (-0.012 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.47% (0.055 0.06)
5-1 @ 1.08% (0.027 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.04% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 64.92%
1-1 @ 10.03% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-0 @ 7.22% (-0.059 -0.06)
2-2 @ 3.49% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 21.33%
0-1 @ 5.3% (-0.111 -0.11)
1-2 @ 3.68% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-2 @ 1.94% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 13.74%

How you voted: Botafogo vs Vasco

Botafogo
91.7%
Draw
8.3%
Vasco da Gama
0.0%
12
Head to Head
Jan 10, 2021 11.30pm
Gameweek 29
Vasco
3-0
Botafogo
Magno (22'), Andrey (78'), Pikachu (90+6' pen.)
Pikachu (90+8')
Sep 24, 2020 1.30am
Fourth Stage
Vasco
0-0
Botafogo
Castan (4'), Henrique (31'), Bastos (42'), Andrey (77'), Benitez (84')
Forster (33'), Marcelo (84'), Honda (86')
Sep 17, 2020 11pm
Fourth Stage
Botafogo
1-0
Vasco
Babi (68')
Babi (26'), Honda (77')

Magno (40')
Sep 14, 2020 12.30am
Gameweek 10
Botafogo
2-3
Vasco

Forster (15'), Kevin (52')
Catatau (72')
Benitez (7'), Bastos (29')
Oct 17, 2019 1.30am
Gameweek 26
Vasco
2-1
Botafogo
Bruno (8'), Ribamar (18')
Castan (79')
Marcelo (22')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo34209552262669
2PalmeirasPalmeiras34207756282867
3FortalezaFortaleza33189647321563
4FlamengoFlamengo34188853381562
5InternacionalInternacional331611646281859
6Sao Paulo341771048351358
7Cruzeiro34138133937247
8Bahia34137144444046
9Corinthians341111124142-144
10Vasco da GamaVasco33127143649-1343
11Atletico Mineiro341013114247-543
12Vitoria34125173948-941
13Gremio34117164044-440
14Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR34117163741-440
15JuventudeJuventude34911144254-1238
16Fluminense33107162836-837
17CriciumaCriciuma34910153949-1037
18BragantinoBragantino34813133541-637
19Cuiaba34611172643-1729
20Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3468202452-2826
> Brasileiro Full Table


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