Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 51.16%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Coritiba had a probability of 21.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.85%) and 1-2 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.4%), while for a Coritiba win it was 1-0 (8.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.