We said: Criciuma 1-2 Fortaleza
While Criciuma have maintained an impressive home record this season, they could struggle here against an in-form opponent and without a recognised manager in the dugout.
Indeed, Fortaleza have not been great on the road this season, but they are on a four-match winning streak and we feel they will extend that record with another victory in this one.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Criciuma win with a probability of 38.13%. A win for Fortaleza had a probability of 34.81% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Criciuma win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Fortaleza win was 0-1 (10.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.