Brasileiro | Gameweek 28
Oct 22, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
Flamengo1 - 0Vasco
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Flamengo and Vasco da Gama.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cruzeiro 0-2 Flamengo
Thursday, October 19 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Thursday, October 19 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Vasco 1-0 Fortaleza
Thursday, October 19 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Thursday, October 19 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
28
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 57.06%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 19.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.48%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.06%), while for a Vasco da Gama win it was 0-1 (6.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Flamengo in this match.
| Result | ||
| Flamengo | Draw | Vasco da Gama |
57.06% ( 0.11) | 23.27% ( 0.28) | 19.67% ( -0.39) |
| Both teams to score 50.35% ( -1.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
