Brasileiro | Gameweek 32
Nov 23, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
Fluminense1 - 0Sao Paulo
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Flamengo 1-1 Fluminense
Saturday, November 11 at 9.30pm in Brasileiro
Saturday, November 11 at 9.30pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
43
Last Game: Santos 0-0 Sao Paulo
Sunday, November 12 at 9.30pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, November 12 at 9.30pm in Brasileiro
We said: Fluminense 1-1 Sao Paulo
With both teams having gone at least two games unbeaten in the league, this is expected to be a competitive affair. Fluminense can play without pressure courtesy of their Copa Libertadores success, but we feel that Sao Paulo are playing with enough confidence to earn a share of the spoils. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 52.07%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 23.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.66%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.8%), while for a Sao Paulo win it was 0-1 (7.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fluminense in this match.
| Result | ||
| Fluminense | Draw | Sao Paulo |
52.07% ( 0.5) | 24.83% ( -0.14) | 23.09% ( -0.36) |
| Both teams to score 50.31% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
