Brasileiro | Gameweek 28
Oct 21, 2023 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo
Sao Paulo3 - 0Gremio
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Sao Paulo and Gremio.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Goias 2-0 Sao Paulo
Thursday, October 19 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Thursday, October 19 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Gremio 1-2 Athletico PR
Wednesday, October 18 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Wednesday, October 18 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 57.12%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Gremio had a probability of 19.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.93%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a Gremio win it was 0-1 (6.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sao Paulo | Draw | Gremio |
57.12% ( 0.06) | 23.72% ( 0.09) | 19.16% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 48.21% ( -0.49) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
