MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 13:44:23| >> :300:86500:86500:
Gremio
Brasileiro | Gameweek 14
Jul 4, 2024 at 11pm UK
Arena do Gremio
Palmeiras

Gremio
2 - 2
Palmeiras

Pavon (2'), Cristaldo (69' pen.)
Ely (71'), Robert (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Manuel Lopez (74'), Willian (77')
de Oliveira Nunes dos Reis (37'), Naves (41'), Moreno (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Brasileiro clash between Gremio and Palmeiras, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gremio 1-0 Fluminense
Sunday, June 30 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Palmeiras 2-0 Corinthians
Tuesday, July 2 at 12am in Brasileiro

We said: Gremio 1-2 Palmeiras

While classed as a 'home' game for Gremio, referring to this as a neutral venue is perhaps a more accurate description. Palmeiras are in good form this season and have the league's best away record as things stand. We feel Verdao will take the points in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 41.95%. A win for Gremio had a probability of 30.66% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (7.86%). The likeliest Gremio win was 1-0 (9.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
GremioDrawPalmeiras
30.66% (-0.417 -0.42) 27.39% (-0.379 -0.38) 41.95% (0.796 0.8)
Both teams to score 48.53% (0.936 0.94)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.16% (1.26 1.26)56.84% (-1.262 -1.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.23% (1.001 1)77.76% (-1.001 -1)
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.24% (0.357 0.36)33.76% (-0.358 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.58% (0.386 0.39)70.42% (-0.387 -0.39)
Palmeiras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.27% (1.023 1.02)26.73% (-1.024 -1.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38% (1.33 1.33)62% (-1.331 -1.33)
Score Analysis
    Gremio 30.66%
    Palmeiras 41.94%
    Draw 27.38%
GremioDrawPalmeiras
1-0 @ 9.8% (-0.38 -0.38)
2-1 @ 7.02% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 5.32% (-0.155 -0.15)
3-1 @ 2.54% (0.026 0.03)
3-0 @ 1.93% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.68% (0.064 0.06)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 30.66%
1-1 @ 12.92% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-0 @ 9.03% (-0.445 -0.45)
2-2 @ 4.63% (0.133 0.13)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27.38%
0-1 @ 11.9% (-0.23 -0.23)
1-2 @ 8.53% (0.165 0.16)
0-2 @ 7.86% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
1-3 @ 3.75% (0.177 0.18)
0-3 @ 3.45% (0.131 0.13)
2-3 @ 2.04% (0.115 0.12)
1-4 @ 1.24% (0.092 0.09)
0-4 @ 1.14% (0.074 0.07)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 41.94%

How you voted: Gremio vs Palmeiras

Gremio
12.5%
Draw
12.5%
Palmeiras
75.0%
32
Head to Head
Sep 22, 2023 1.30am
Gameweek 24
Gremio
1-0
Palmeiras
Pedro (9')
Ely (34'), Pedro (45+6'), Villasanti (59'), Grando (90+9')
Villasanti (86')

Rocha (45+2'), Mayke (63'), Menino (72')
May 11, 2023 1.30am
Gameweek 5
Palmeiras
4-1
Gremio
Veiga (24')
Oct 31, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 29
Gremio
1-3
Palmeiras
Souza (11')
Kannemann (27'), Pyerre (39'), Mancini (45+6'), Thiago (64'), Alisson (69')
Veiga (45+1' pen., 45+4'), Lopes (90+3')
Melo (62'), Garcia (90+1')
Jul 7, 2021 11pm
Gameweek 10
Palmeiras
2-0
Gremio
Veiga (1'), Menino (17')
Menino (9'), Danilo (41')

Nunes (32'), Henrique (34'), Vanderson (38')
Mar 7, 2021 9pm
Finals
Palmeiras
2-0
Gremio
Wesley (53'), Menino (84')
Rafael (16'), Menino (86'), Esteves (86'), Rocha (87')

Doin (27'), Kannemann (30')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo34209552262669
2PalmeirasPalmeiras34207756282867
3FortalezaFortaleza33189647321563
4FlamengoFlamengo34188853381562
5InternacionalInternacional331611646281859
6Sao Paulo341771048351358
7Cruzeiro34138133937247
8Bahia34137144444046
9Corinthians341111124142-144
10Vasco da GamaVasco33127143649-1343
11Atletico Mineiro341013114247-543
12Vitoria34125173948-941
13Gremio34117164044-440
14Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR34117163741-440
15JuventudeJuventude34911144254-1238
16Fluminense33107162836-837
17CriciumaCriciuma34910153949-1037
18BragantinoBragantino34813133541-637
19Cuiaba34611172643-1729
20Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3468202452-2826


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