Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Gremio and Palmeiras.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Corinthians 4-4 Gremio
Tuesday, September 19 at 1am in Brasileiro
Tuesday, September 19 at 1am in Brasileiro
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 37.38%. A win for Gremio had a probability of 35.11% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.03%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Gremio win was 1-0 (10.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gremio | Draw | Palmeiras |
35.11% ( -0.09) | 27.52% ( -0.14) | 37.38% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 49.24% ( 0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.56% ( 0.53) | 56.44% ( -0.53) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.55% ( 0.42) | 77.45% ( -0.42) |
| Gremio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.48% ( 0.21) | 30.52% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.25% ( 0.25) | 66.74% ( -0.25) |
| Palmeiras Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.88% ( 0.39) | 29.12% ( -0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.95% ( 0.48) | 65.05% ( -0.48) |
| Score Analysis |
Gremio 35.1%
Palmeiras 37.37%
Draw 27.51%
| Gremio | Draw | Palmeiras |
| 1-0 @ 10.54% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 7.72% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.26% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 3.05% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.48% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.88% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.26% Total : 35.1% | 1-1 @ 13.01% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 8.89% ( -0.18)2-2 @ 4.76% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.51% | 0-1 @ 10.96% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 8.03% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 6.76% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.3% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 2.78% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.56% Total : 37.37% |
How you voted: Gremio vs Palmeiras
Gremio
11.1%Draw
22.2%Palmeiras
66.7%9
Head to Head
May 11, 2023 1.30am
Mar 1, 2021 12am
