MX23RW : Saturday, September 21 00:20:03| >> :300:86500:86500:
Vasco da Gama
Brasileiro | Gameweek 14
Jul 8, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
Cruzeiro

Vasco
0 - 1
Cruzeiro


Carvalho (45+3'), Capasso (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Machado (45+4')
Bruno (54'), Robert (79'), William (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Brasileiro clash between Vasco da Gama and Cruzeiro, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Botafogo 2-0 Vasco
Sunday, July 2 at 8pm in Brasileiro

We said: Vasco da Gama 0-1 Cruzeiro

Vasco da Gama unsurprisingly came out as second best against league leaders Botafogo last time out, but a home match on Saturday should be a good opportunity for Batista's men to get back into winning ways. Cruzeiro are competing with the very best in the Brasileiro this term, and we believe they will narrowly come out on top at Estadio Sao Januario on the weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 44.06%. A win for Cruzeiro had a probability of 29.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Cruzeiro win was 0-1 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Cruzeiro in this match.

Result
Vasco da GamaDrawCruzeiro
44.06% (0.016000000000005 0.02) 26.8% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 29.14% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 49.54% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.79% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)55.21% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.56% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)76.44% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Vasco da Gama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.1% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)24.9% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.48% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)59.52% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Cruzeiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.96% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)34.04% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.28% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)70.72% (0.032999999999987 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Vasco da Gama 44.05%
    Cruzeiro 29.14%
    Draw 26.79%
Vasco da GamaDrawCruzeiro
1-0 @ 11.78% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.83%
2-0 @ 8.19% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.09%
3-0 @ 3.8% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-2 @ 2.2% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-1 @ 1.42%
4-0 @ 1.32%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 44.05%
1-1 @ 12.69%
0-0 @ 8.48% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.76% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 26.79%
0-1 @ 9.13% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-2 @ 6.84% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 4.92% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.46% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.77% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.71% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 29.14%

How you voted: Vasco vs Cruzeiro

Vasco da Gama
20.0%
Draw
37.5%
Cruzeiro
42.5%
40
Head to Head
Dec 2, 2019 11pm
Gameweek 36
Vasco
1-0
Cruzeiro
Guarin (10')
Richard (45'), Rossi (62'), Guarin (92')

Ederson (45'), Gabriel (94'), Fred (95')
Sep 1, 2019 11pm
Gameweek 17
Cruzeiro
1-0
Vasco
Mauricio (80')
Robinho (27'), Henrique (56'), Gabriel (81')

Danilo (55'), Richard (58'), Magno (70'), Rossi (74')
Oct 14, 2018 8pm
Gameweek 29
Vasco
2-0
Cruzeiro
Pikachu (49'), Lopez (70')
Andrey (22'), Castan (47'), Werley (63'), Lopez (63'), Gustavo (69')

Silva (38'), Sassa (71')
Mancuello (72')
Jun 7, 2018 1.45am
Cruzeiro
1-1
Vasco
Raniel (61')
Edilson (87')
Andrey (22')
Wagner (44')
May 3, 2018 1.45am
-
Vasco
0-4
Cruzeiro

Henrique (56')
Leo (10'), Neves (25'), Sassa (33', 55')
Romero (53')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo26165545252053
2PalmeirasPalmeiras26155643192450
3FortalezaFortaleza2614753225749
4FlamengoFlamengo25136640291145
5Sao Paulo2613583426844
6Bahia26126837271042
7Cruzeiro2612593427741
8InternacionalInternacional2410862720738
9Vasco da GamaVasco25105103035-535
10Atletico Mineiro248973236-433
11JuventudeJuventude2688103136-532
12BragantinoBragantino2587103132-131
13Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR2486102729-230
14Gremio2484122530-528
15CriciumaCriciuma2577113240-828
16Fluminense2576122128-727
17Vitoria2674152839-1125
18Corinthians26510112333-1025
19Cuiaba2557132338-1522
20Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO2646162142-2118


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