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Vasco da Gama
Brasileiro | Gameweek 14
Jul 8, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
Cruzeiro

Vasco
0 - 1
Cruzeiro


Carvalho (45+3'), Capasso (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Machado (45+4')
Bruno (54'), Robert (79'), William (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Brasileiro clash between Vasco da Gama and Cruzeiro, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Botafogo 2-0 Vasco
Sunday, July 2 at 8pm in Brasileiro

We said: Vasco da Gama 0-1 Cruzeiro

Vasco da Gama unsurprisingly came out as second best against league leaders Botafogo last time out, but a home match on Saturday should be a good opportunity for Batista's men to get back into winning ways. Cruzeiro are competing with the very best in the Brasileiro this term, and we believe they will narrowly come out on top at Estadio Sao Januario on the weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 44.06%. A win for Cruzeiro had a probability of 29.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Cruzeiro win was 0-1 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Cruzeiro in this match.

Result
Vasco da GamaDrawCruzeiro
44.06% (0.016000000000005 0.02) 26.8% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 29.14% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 49.54% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.79% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)55.21% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.56% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)76.44% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Vasco da Gama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.1% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)24.9% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.48% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)59.52% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Cruzeiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.96% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)34.04% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.28% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)70.72% (0.032999999999987 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Vasco da Gama 44.05%
    Cruzeiro 29.14%
    Draw 26.79%
Vasco da GamaDrawCruzeiro
1-0 @ 11.78% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.83%
2-0 @ 8.19% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.09%
3-0 @ 3.8% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-2 @ 2.2% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-1 @ 1.42%
4-0 @ 1.32%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 44.05%
1-1 @ 12.69%
0-0 @ 8.48% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.76% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 26.79%
0-1 @ 9.13% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-2 @ 6.84% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 4.92% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.46% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.77% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.71% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 29.14%

How you voted: Vasco vs Cruzeiro

Vasco da Gama
20.0%
Draw
37.5%
Cruzeiro
42.5%
40
Head to Head
Dec 2, 2019 11pm
Gameweek 36
Vasco
1-0
Cruzeiro
Guarin (10')
Richard (45'), Rossi (62'), Guarin (92')

Ederson (45'), Gabriel (94'), Fred (95')
Sep 1, 2019 11pm
Gameweek 17
Cruzeiro
1-0
Vasco
Mauricio (80')
Robinho (27'), Henrique (56'), Gabriel (81')

Danilo (55'), Richard (58'), Magno (70'), Rossi (74')
Oct 14, 2018 8pm
Gameweek 29
Vasco
2-0
Cruzeiro
Pikachu (49'), Lopez (70')
Andrey (22'), Castan (47'), Werley (63'), Lopez (63'), Gustavo (69')

Silva (38'), Sassa (71')
Mancuello (72')
Jun 7, 2018 1.45am
Cruzeiro
1-1
Vasco
Raniel (61')
Edilson (87')
Andrey (22')
Wagner (44')
May 3, 2018 1.45am
-
Vasco
0-4
Cruzeiro

Henrique (56')
Leo (10'), Neves (25'), Sassa (33', 55')
Romero (53')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo362110556282873
2PalmeirasPalmeiras36217858312770
3FlamengoFlamengo36199856401666
4InternacionalInternacional361811753322165
5FortalezaFortaleza361811749361365
6Sao Paulo361781151391259
7Bahia36148144746150
8Corinthians361311124845350
9Cruzeiro361310134139249
10Vitoria36136174249-745
11Gremio36128164346-344
12Vasco da GamaVasco36128163955-1644
13Atletico Mineiro361014124652-644
14Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR36119163943-442
15JuventudeJuventude361012144657-1142
16Fluminense361010163139-840
17CriciumaCriciuma36911164153-1238
18BragantinoBragantino36814143746-938
19Cuiaba36612182846-1830
20Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3669212655-2927


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