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Vasco da Gama
Brasileiro | Gameweek 14
Jul 8, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
Cruzeiro

Vasco
0 - 1
Cruzeiro


Carvalho (45+3'), Capasso (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Machado (45+4')
Bruno (54'), Robert (79'), William (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Brasileiro clash between Vasco da Gama and Cruzeiro, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Botafogo 2-0 Vasco
Sunday, July 2 at 8pm in Brasileiro

We said: Vasco da Gama 0-1 Cruzeiro

Vasco da Gama unsurprisingly came out as second best against league leaders Botafogo last time out, but a home match on Saturday should be a good opportunity for Batista's men to get back into winning ways. Cruzeiro are competing with the very best in the Brasileiro this term, and we believe they will narrowly come out on top at Estadio Sao Januario on the weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 44.06%. A win for Cruzeiro had a probability of 29.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Cruzeiro win was 0-1 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Cruzeiro in this match.

Result
Vasco da GamaDrawCruzeiro
44.06% (0.016000000000005 0.02) 26.8% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 29.14% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 49.54% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.79% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)55.21% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.56% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)76.44% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Vasco da Gama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.1% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)24.9% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.48% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)59.52% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Cruzeiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.96% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)34.04% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.28% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)70.72% (0.032999999999987 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Vasco da Gama 44.05%
    Cruzeiro 29.14%
    Draw 26.79%
Vasco da GamaDrawCruzeiro
1-0 @ 11.78% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.83%
2-0 @ 8.19% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.09%
3-0 @ 3.8% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-2 @ 2.2% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-1 @ 1.42%
4-0 @ 1.32%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 44.05%
1-1 @ 12.69%
0-0 @ 8.48% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.76% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 26.79%
0-1 @ 9.13% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-2 @ 6.84% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 4.92% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.46% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.77% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.71% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 29.14%

How you voted: Vasco vs Cruzeiro

Vasco da Gama
20.0%
Draw
37.5%
Cruzeiro
42.5%
40
Head to Head
Dec 2, 2019 11pm
Gameweek 36
Vasco
1-0
Cruzeiro
Guarin (10')
Richard (45'), Rossi (62'), Guarin (92')

Ederson (45'), Gabriel (94'), Fred (95')
Sep 1, 2019 11pm
Gameweek 17
Cruzeiro
1-0
Vasco
Mauricio (80')
Robinho (27'), Henrique (56'), Gabriel (81')

Danilo (55'), Richard (58'), Magno (70'), Rossi (74')
Oct 14, 2018 8pm
Gameweek 29
Vasco
2-0
Cruzeiro
Pikachu (49'), Lopez (70')
Andrey (22'), Castan (47'), Werley (63'), Lopez (63'), Gustavo (69')

Silva (38'), Sassa (71')
Mancuello (72')
Jun 7, 2018 1.45am
Cruzeiro
1-1
Vasco
Raniel (61')
Edilson (87')
Andrey (22')
Wagner (44')
May 3, 2018 1.45am
-
Vasco
0-4
Cruzeiro

Henrique (56')
Leo (10'), Neves (25'), Sassa (33', 55')
Romero (53')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo32207552262667
2PalmeirasPalmeiras32187753272661
3FortalezaFortaleza32179644321260
4FlamengoFlamengo32177851371458
5InternacionalInternacional321511644281656
6Sao Paulo321661045331254
7Bahia32137124240246
8Cruzeiro32128123634244
9Vasco da GamaVasco32127133646-1043
10Atletico Mineiro311011104246-441
11Gremio32116153841-339
12Vitoria32115163746-938
13Corinthians32911123740-338
14Fluminense32107152834-637
15CriciumaCriciuma32910133846-837
16BragantinoBragantino32811133440-635
17Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR3197153339-634
18JuventudeJuventude32810143851-1334
19Cuiaba32610162541-1628
20Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3267192450-2625


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