Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Vitoria and Gremio.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Vitoria 2-0 Fortaleza
Sunday, December 1 at 9.30pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, December 1 at 9.30pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
42
Last Game: Gremio 2-1 Sao Paulo
Sunday, December 1 at 7pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, December 1 at 7pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
43
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria win with a probability of 40.72%. A win for Gremio had a probability of 32.09% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Gremio win was 0-1 (9.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vitoria | Draw | Gremio |
40.72% ( 2.43) | 27.19% ( 0.3) | 32.09% ( -2.72) |
| Both teams to score 49.65% ( -1.53) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.34% ( -1.67) | 55.66% ( 1.67) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.19% ( -1.38) | 76.81% ( 1.39) |
| Vitoria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.15% ( 0.57) | 26.84% ( -0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.85% ( 0.74) | 62.15% ( -0.73) |
| Gremio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.87% ( -2.64) | 32.13% ( 2.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.39% ( -3.11) | 68.61% ( 3.11) |
| Score Analysis |
Vitoria 40.72%
Gremio 32.09%
Draw 27.18%
| Vitoria | Draw | Gremio |
| 1-0 @ 11.34% ( 0.88) 2-1 @ 8.47% ( 0.2)2-0 @ 7.46% ( 0.69)3-1 @ 3.71% ( 0.15)3-0 @ 3.27% ( 0.35)3-2 @ 2.11% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.22% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.13)Other @ 2.06% Total : 40.72% | 1-1 @ 12.87% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 8.63% ( 0.54)2-2 @ 4.81% ( -0.24)Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.18% | 0-1 @ 9.79% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 7.31% ( -0.49)0-2 @ 5.56% ( -0.47)1-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.41)0-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.35)2-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.24)Other @ 2.74% Total : 32.09% |
How you voted: Vitoria vs Gremio
Vitoria
42.9%Draw
42.9%Gremio
14.3%7
