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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
12 | Stuttgart | 4 | -1 | 3 |
13 | Bayer Leverkusen | 4 | -2 | 3 |
14 | Augsburg | 4 | -5 | 3 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
3 | Union Berlin | 4 | 8 | 10 |
4 | Freiburg | 4 | 4 | 9 |
5 | Hoffenheim | 5 | 2 | 9 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 56.81%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 20.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 2-0 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.64%), while for a Freiburg win it was 0-1 (5.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Freiburg |
56.81% ( 3.42) | 22.53% ( -0.92) | 20.66% ( -2.5) |
Both teams to score 54.27% ( -0.45) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.16% ( 1.06) | 44.84% ( -1.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.8% ( 1.02) | 67.2% ( -1.02) |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.43% ( 1.57) | 15.57% ( -1.57) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.48% ( 2.85) | 44.52% ( -2.85) |
Freiburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.28% ( -1.77) | 35.72% ( 1.76) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.51% ( -1.86) | 72.49% ( 1.86) |
Score Analysis |
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Freiburg |
1-0 @ 10.34% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.9% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 9.62% ( 0.57) 3-1 @ 6.14% ( 0.39) 3-0 @ 5.96% ( 0.64) 3-2 @ 3.16% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 2.86% ( 0.32) 4-0 @ 2.77% ( 0.43) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( 0.1) 5-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.17) 5-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.2) Other @ 2.49% Total : 56.8% | 1-1 @ 10.64% ( -0.44) 0-0 @ 5.56% ( -0.26) 2-2 @ 5.1% ( -0.18) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.52% | 0-1 @ 5.72% ( -0.56) 1-2 @ 5.48% ( -0.51) 0-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.45) 1-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.28) 2-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.21) Other @ 1.87% Total : 20.66% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 48 | 13 | 35 | 39 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 23 | 17 | 35 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 36 | 23 | 13 | 30 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 30 |
5 | Mainz 05Mainz | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 28 |
6 | Freiburg | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 27 |
7 | Stuttgart | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 26 |
8 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 25 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 25 |
10 | Wolfsburg | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 24 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 24 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 33 | -16 | 16 |
14 | St Pauli | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 20 | -8 | 14 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 14 |
16 | Heidenheim | 16 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 13 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 16 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 8 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 13 | 37 | -24 | 6 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |