MX23RW : Tuesday, January 14 12:06:04| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 5
Sep 3, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
BayArena
Freiburg logo

B. Leverkusen
2 - 3
Freiburg

Demirbay (16'), Schick (65')
Tah (5'), Amiri (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ginter (48'), Gregoritsch (51'), Doan (72')
Hofler (34'), Gregoritsch (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Bayer Leverkusen 2-2 Freiburg

We expect to see goals at both ends in Leverkusen on Saturday, with a draw the most likely outcome. The hosts should have gained confidence from finally ending their losing run last weekend, while Freiburg may be content with adding another point to the board having made an excellent start to the season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 56.81%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 20.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 2-0 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.64%), while for a Freiburg win it was 0-1 (5.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawFreiburg
56.81% (3.416 3.42) 22.53% (-0.919 -0.92) 20.66% (-2.499 -2.5)
Both teams to score 54.27% (-0.453 -0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.16% (1.064 1.06)44.84% (-1.067 -1.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.8% (1.017 1.02)67.2% (-1.02 -1.02)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.43% (1.57 1.57)15.57% (-1.573 -1.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.48% (2.845 2.85)44.52% (-2.848 -2.85)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.28% (-1.766 -1.77)35.72% (1.763 1.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.51% (-1.861 -1.86)72.49% (1.858 1.86)
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 56.8%
    Freiburg 20.66%
    Draw 22.52%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawFreiburg
1-0 @ 10.34% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 9.9% (0.124 0.12)
2-0 @ 9.62% (0.566 0.57)
3-1 @ 6.14% (0.391 0.39)
3-0 @ 5.96% (0.641 0.64)
3-2 @ 3.16% (0.055 0.06)
4-1 @ 2.86% (0.32 0.32)
4-0 @ 2.77% (0.426 0.43)
4-2 @ 1.47% (0.101 0.1)
5-1 @ 1.06% (0.168 0.17)
5-0 @ 1.03% (0.204 0.2)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 56.8%
1-1 @ 10.64% (-0.44 -0.44)
0-0 @ 5.56% (-0.26 -0.26)
2-2 @ 5.1% (-0.183 -0.18)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.52%
0-1 @ 5.72% (-0.562 -0.56)
1-2 @ 5.48% (-0.507 -0.51)
0-2 @ 2.95% (-0.448 -0.45)
1-3 @ 1.88% (-0.275 -0.28)
2-3 @ 1.75% (-0.152 -0.15)
0-3 @ 1.01% (-0.211 -0.21)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 20.66%

How you voted: B. Leverkusen vs Freiburg

Bayer Leverkusen
55.4%
Draw
17.9%
Freiburg
26.8%
56
Head to Head
May 14, 2022 2.30pm
Dec 19, 2021 2.30pm
Freiburg
2-1
B. Leverkusen
Grifo (33' pen.), Schade (84')
Schlotterbeck (30'), Holer (86')
Aranguiz (45+1')
Frimpong (32'), Andrich (39'), Odilon (82')
Feb 28, 2021 5pm
B. Leverkusen
1-2
Freiburg
Bailey (70')
Aranguiz (68'), Bailey (71')
Demirovic (50'), Holer (61')
Demirovic (21'), Hofler (73'), Sallai (77')
Nov 1, 2020 2.30pm
Freiburg
2-4
B. Leverkusen
Holer (3'), Petersen (72')
Kubler (45+1'), Heintz (50')
Alario (29', 42'), Amiri (64'), Tah (76')
Bender (24'), Diaby (60')
May 29, 2020 7.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Vikings
9-27
Rams
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern16123148133539
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen16105140231735
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1693436231330
4RB Leipzig169342822630
5Mainz 05Mainz1684430201028
6Freiburg168352426-227
7Stuttgart167543025526
8Borussia DortmundDortmund167453025525
9Werder Bremen167452829-125
10Wolfsburg167363328524
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach167362521424
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin164571421-717
13Augsburg164481733-1616
14St Pauli1642101220-814
15Hoffenheim163582029-914
16Heidenheim1641112033-1313
17Holstein Kiel1622122141-208
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1613121337-246


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