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Bundesliga | Gameweek 1
Aug 6, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Signal Iduna Park
Leverkusen logo

Dortmund
1 - 0
B. Leverkusen

Reus (10')
Hazard (43'), Schlotterbeck (72')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Tah (27'), Palacios (37'), Hincapie (56'), Bakker (90+5')
Hradecky (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Dortmund

Last Six:
    Last Game: Dortmund 1-1 Antalyaspor
    Saturday, July 30 at 4pm in Club Friendlies 1

    Bayer Leverkusen

    Last Six:
      Last Game: Elversberg 4-3 B. Leverkusen
      Saturday, July 30 at 2.31pm in DFB-Pokal

      We said: Borussia Dortmund 3-2 Bayer Leverkusen

       We expect to see a highly entertaining, high-scoring affair between two attacking teams on Saturday. Both meetings saw seven goals scored at either end last season, but we expect the hosts to just edge it having looked more ready for the new season in the DFB-Pokal last weekend. Read more.

      Data Analysis

      Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 45.96%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 32.6% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

      The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.68%) and 1-0 (5.12%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

      Result
      Borussia DortmundDrawBayer Leverkusen
      45.96% (1.282 1.28) 21.44% (-0.303 -0.3) 32.6% (-0.979 -0.98)
      Both teams to score 70.11% (0.762 0.76)
      Goals
      Over 2.5Under 2.5
      70.86% (1.146 1.15)29.14% (-1.146 -1.15)
      Over 3.5Under 3.5
      49.86% (1.389 1.39)50.14% (-1.389 -1.39)
      Borussia Dortmund Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      86.46% (0.87299999999999 0.87)13.54% (-0.872 -0.87)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      59.39% (1.717 1.72)40.61% (-1.717 -1.72)
      Bayer Leverkusen Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      81.09% (0.061999999999998 0.06)18.91% (-0.061 -0.06)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      49.6% (0.103 0.1)50.4% (-0.103 -0.1)
      Score Analysis
          Borussia Dortmund 45.96%
          Bayer Leverkusen 32.6%
          Draw 21.44%
      Borussia DortmundDrawBayer Leverkusen
      2-1 @ 8.52% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
      3-1 @ 5.68% (0.176 0.18)
      1-0 @ 5.12% (-0.176 -0.18)
      2-0 @ 5.12% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
      3-2 @ 4.73% (0.155 0.16)
      3-0 @ 3.41% (0.099 0.1)
      4-1 @ 2.84% (0.174 0.17)
      4-2 @ 2.37% (0.149 0.15)
      4-0 @ 1.71% (0.101 0.1)
      4-3 @ 1.31% (0.085 0.09)
      5-1 @ 1.14% (0.103 0.1)
      5-2 @ 0.95% (0.087 0.09)
      Other @ 3.07%
      Total : 45.96%
      		1-1 @ 8.53% (-0.278 -0.28)
      2-2 @ 7.1% (0.012 0.01)
      3-3 @ 2.63% (0.091 0.09)
      0-0 @ 2.56% (-0.173 -0.17)
      Other @ 0.63%
      Total : 21.44%
      		1-2 @ 7.1% (-0.217 -0.22)
      0-1 @ 4.26% (-0.281 -0.28)
      1-3 @ 3.94% (-0.112 -0.11)
      2-3 @ 3.94% (0.014 0.01)
      0-2 @ 3.55% (-0.227 -0.23)
      0-3 @ 1.97% (-0.122 -0.12)
      1-4 @ 1.64% (-0.044 -0.04)
      2-4 @ 1.64% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
      3-4 @ 1.09% (0.04 0.04)
      Other @ 3.45%
      Total : 32.6%

      How you voted: Dortmund vs B. Leverkusen

      Borussia Dortmund
      75.5%
      Draw
      12.7%
      Bayer Leverkusen
      11.8%
      102
      Head to Head
      Feb 6, 2022 2.30pm
      Dortmund
      2-5
      B. Leverkusen
      Frimpong (16' og.), Tigges (89')
      Dahoud (26')
      Akanji (11' og.), Wirtz (20'), Andrich (28'), Tah (53'), Diaby (87')
      Bellarabi (46')
      Sep 11, 2021 2.30pm
      B. Leverkusen
      3-4
      Dortmund
      Wirtz (9'), Schick (45+1'), Diaby (55')
      Wirtz (60'), Frimpong (70'), Odilon (75'), Diaby (86')
      Braut Haaland (37', 77'), Brandt (49'), Guerreiro (71')
      Meunier (20'), Braut Haaland (60'), Wolf (90+2')
      May 22, 2021 2.30pm
      Dortmund
      3-1
      B. Leverkusen
      Braut Haaland (5', 84'), Reus (51')
      Bender (89' pen.)
      Jan 19, 2021 7.30pm
      B. Leverkusen
      2-1
      Dortmund
      Diaby (14'), Wirtz (80')
      Bailey (73'), Diaby (78')
      Brandt (67')
      Hummels (90+1'), Delaney (90+3')
      Feb 8, 2020 5.30pm
      B. Leverkusen
      4-3
      Dortmund
      Volland (20', 43'), Bailey (81'), Bender (82')
      Bender (35'), Volland (67')
      Hummels (22'), Can (33'), Guerreiro (65')
      Guerreiro (39')
      rhs 2.0
      Today's games header
      FT
      Browns
      32-41
      Broncos
      > View full version> Yesterday's results
      Tables header RHS
      TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
      1Bayern MunichBayern129303782930
      2Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1282231161526
      3Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen126512819923
      4RB Leipzig126331914521
      5Borussia DortmundDortmund126242319420
      6Freiburg126241616020
      7Mainz 05Mainz125432014619
      8Wolfsburg125342519618
      9Stuttgart124532321217
      10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach125251817117
      11Union BerlinUnion Berlin124441011-116
      12Werder Bremen124441924-516
      13Augsburg124351423-915
      14Hoffenheim123361724-712
      15St Pauli123271015-511
      16Heidenheim123181524-910
      17Holstein Kiel121291331-185
      18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1202101033-232
      > Bundesliga Full Table


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