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Eintracht Frankfurt logo
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Heidenheim
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Stuttgart
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Wolfsburg
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 17
Dec 17, 2021 at 7.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
Wolfsburg

Bayern
4 - 0
Wolfsburg

Muller (7'), Upamecano (57'), Sane (59'), Lewandowski (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Wolfsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Bayern Munich 3-0 Wolfsburg

Facing Bayern off the back of six straight defeats is far from ideal for Wolfsburg, and we are finding it incredibly difficult to predict anything other than a comfortable victory for the reigning champions, who should have too much in the final third despite their absentees. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 82.74%. A draw had a probability of 11% and a win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 6.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.91%) and 3-1 (8.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5%), while for a Wolfsburg win it was 1-2 (1.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawWolfsburg
82.74%11.05%6.21%
Both teams to score 51.81%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
74.39%25.62%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
54.27%45.74%
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.49%4.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
81.51%18.49%
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.26%45.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.48%81.52%
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 82.73%
    Wolfsburg 6.21%
    Draw 11.05%
Bayern MunichDrawWolfsburg
3-0 @ 10.24%
2-0 @ 9.91%
3-1 @ 8.01%
4-0 @ 7.94%
2-1 @ 7.75%
1-0 @ 6.4%
4-1 @ 6.21%
5-0 @ 4.93%
5-1 @ 3.85%
3-2 @ 3.13%
6-0 @ 2.55%
4-2 @ 2.43%
6-1 @ 1.99%
5-2 @ 1.51%
7-0 @ 1.13%
Other @ 4.75%
Total : 82.73%
1-1 @ 5%
2-2 @ 3.03%
0-0 @ 2.06%
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 11.05%
1-2 @ 1.96%
0-1 @ 1.61%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 6.21%

How you voted: Bayern vs Wolfsburg

Bayern Munich
90.8%
Draw
3.3%
Wolfsburg
5.9%
152
Head to Head
Apr 17, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 29
Wolfsburg
2-3
Bayern
Weghorst (35'), Philipp (54')
Otavio (57'), Mbabu (86')
Musiala (15', 37'), Maxim Choupo-Moting (24')
Hernandez (79')
Dec 16, 2020 7.30pm
Gameweek 12
Bayern
2-1
Wolfsburg
Lewandowski (45+1', 50')
Gnabry (69'), Sane (84'), Coman (90')
Philipp (5')
Arnold (34')
Jun 27, 2020 2.30pm
Dec 21, 2019 2.30pm
Mar 9, 2019 2.30pm
Gameweek 25
Bayern
6-0
Wolfsburg
Gnabry (34'), Lewandowski (37', 85'), Rodriguez (52'), Muller (76'), Kimmich (82')

Rexhbecaj (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern97203272523
2RB Leipzig86201431120
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt95222314917
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen94412015516
5Freiburg85031311215
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin943298115
7Stuttgart93421716113
8Borussia DortmundDortmund84131514113
9Werder Bremen83321416-212
10Augsburg93241320-711
11Heidenheim93151212010
12Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach83141113-210
13Wolfsburg92341617-19
14Mainz 05Mainz82331213-19
15St Pauli9225711-48
16Hoffenheim92251319-68
17Holstein Kiel91261123-125
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum9018929-201


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