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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
3 | FC Koln | 2 | 2 | 4 |
4 | Bayern Munich | 1 | 5 | 3 |
5 | Freiburg | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
12 | Stuttgart | 2 | 0 | 2 |
13 | Wolfsburg | 1 | 0 | 1 |
14 | Schalke 04 | 2 | -2 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 76.94%. A draw had a probability of 13.2% and a win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 9.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 3-1 with a probability of 8.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.14%) and 3-0 (7.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.37%), while for a Wolfsburg win it was 1-2 (2.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
Result | ||
Bayern Munich | Draw | Wolfsburg |
76.94% ( 0.07) | 13.2% ( -0.04) | 9.86% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 61.91% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
77.37% ( 0.08) | 22.62% ( -0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
58.25% ( 0.12) | 41.74% ( -0.12) |
Bayern Munich Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
95.17% ( 0.03) | 4.82% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
80.55% ( 0.08) | 19.45% ( -0.08) |
Wolfsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.05% ( 0.01) | 34.95% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.31% ( 0.01) | 71.69% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Bayern Munich | Draw | Wolfsburg |
3-1 @ 8.23% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.14% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 7.83% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.75% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 6.24% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 5.93% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.11% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 4.33% ( 0) 5-1 @ 3.78% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 3.6% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 3.28% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 1.99% ( 0.01) 6-1 @ 1.91% ( 0.01) 6-0 @ 1.82% ( 0.01) 4-3 @ 1.15% ( 0) 6-2 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.85% Total : 76.94% | 1-1 @ 5.37% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.28% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 1.69% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.52% ( 0) Other @ 0.34% Total : 13.2% | 1-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 1.77% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.5% ( -0) 1-3 @ 0.99% ( -0) 0-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.84% Total : 9.86% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 19 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 58 | 16 | 42 | 48 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 19 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 46 | 26 | 20 | 42 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 44 | 26 | 18 | 37 |
4 | Stuttgart | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 32 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 32 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 23 | 10 | 31 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 28 |
8 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 27 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 27 |
10 | Freiburg | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 27 |
11 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 26 |
12 | Augsburg | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 25 |
13 | St Pauli | 19 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 20 |
14 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 20 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 18 |
16 | Heidenheim | 19 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 14 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 19 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 28 | 48 | -20 | 12 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 43 | -26 | 10 |
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