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Bundesliga | Gameweek 2
Aug 14, 2022 at 4.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
Wolfsburg

Bayern
2 - 0
Wolfsburg

Musiala (33'), Muller (44')
Hernandez (15'), Ulreich (23')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Svanberg (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Wolfsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 76.94%. A draw had a probability of 13.2% and a win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 9.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 3-1 with a probability of 8.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.14%) and 3-0 (7.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.37%), while for a Wolfsburg win it was 1-2 (2.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawWolfsburg
76.94% (0.069000000000003 0.07)13.2% (-0.036 -0.04)9.86% (-0.035 -0.04)
Both teams to score 61.91% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
77.37% (0.084000000000003 0.08)22.62% (-0.086000000000002 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
58.25% (0.115 0.12)41.74% (-0.117 -0.12)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.17% (0.025000000000006 0.03)4.82% (-0.028 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
80.55% (0.082999999999998 0.08)19.45% (-0.084 -0.08)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.05% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)34.95% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.31% (0.010999999999999 0.01)71.69% (-0.012 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 76.94%
    Wolfsburg 9.86%
    Draw 13.2%
Bayern MunichDrawWolfsburg
3-1 @ 8.23% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 8.14% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 7.83% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 7.75% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 6.24% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 5.93% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
1-0 @ 5.11% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 4.33% (0.00099999999999945 0)
5-1 @ 3.78% (0.014 0.01)
5-0 @ 3.6% (0.013 0.01)
4-2 @ 3.28% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-2 @ 1.99% (0.008 0.01)
6-1 @ 1.91% (0.011 0.01)
6-0 @ 1.82% (0.01 0.01)
4-3 @ 1.15% (0.0030000000000001 0)
6-2 @ 1% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 4.85%
Total : 76.94%
1-1 @ 5.37% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.28% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-0 @ 1.69% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.52% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 13.2%
1-2 @ 2.82% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-1 @ 1.77% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.5% (-0.002 -0)
1-3 @ 0.99% (-0.003 -0)
0-2 @ 0.93% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 9.86%

How you voted: Bayern vs Wolfsburg

Bayern Munich
88.2%
Draw
4.7%
Wolfsburg
7.1%
85
Head to Head
May 14, 2022 2.30pm
Wolfsburg
2-2
Bayern
Wind (45'), Kruse (58')
Kohfeldt (38'), Nmecha (42')
Stanisic (17'), Lewandowski (40')
Upamecano (77'), Richards (88')
Dec 17, 2021 7.30pm
Apr 17, 2021 2.30pm
Wolfsburg
2-3
Bayern
Weghorst (35'), Philipp (54')
Otavio (57'), Mbabu (86')
Musiala (15', 37'), Maxim Choupo-Moting (24')
Hernandez (79')
Dec 16, 2020 7.30pm
Bayern
2-1
Wolfsburg
Lewandowski (45+1', 50')
Gnabry (69'), Sane (84'), Coman (90')
Philipp (5')
Arnold (34')
Jun 27, 2020 2.30pm