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Bundesliga | Gameweek 7
Oct 8, 2023 at 6.30pm UK
Commerzbank-Arena
Heidenheim

Frankfurt
2 - 0
Heidenheim

Larsson (39'), Knauff (72')
Ngankam (11'), Max (65')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Beste (23'), Muller (29'), Mainka (46')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Eintracht Frankfurt and Heidenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Eintracht Frankfurt

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: PAOK 2-1 Frankfurt
Thursday, October 5 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Heidenheim

All competitions
Last Game: Heidenheim 1-0 Union Berlin
Saturday, September 30 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Eintracht Frankfurt 1-1 Heidenheim

 Although Frankfurt will understandably head into this match as favourites, the loss of Randal Kolo Muani to Paris Saint-Germain at the end of the summer transfer window has clearly hit them hard, and their results may suffer until the France forward is belatedly replaced in January. Heidenheim will be fresher and more confident having had no European involvements in midweek and beaten Union Berlin last time out, and we can envisage them returning home with another point to add to their growing tally. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eintracht Frankfurt win with a probability of 54.71%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 22.76% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eintracht Frankfurt win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 1-2 (5.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eintracht Frankfurt would win this match.

Result
Eintracht FrankfurtDrawHeidenheim
54.71% (0.328 0.33) 22.53% (-0.141 -0.14) 22.76% (-0.185 -0.18)
Both teams to score 57.28% (0.242 0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.72% (0.433 0.43)42.28% (-0.431 -0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.32% (0.432 0.43)64.68% (-0.431 -0.43)
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.62% (0.26300000000001 0.26)15.38% (-0.262 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.82% (0.491 0.49)44.17% (-0.489 -0.49)
Heidenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.69% (0.076000000000008 0.08)32.31% (-0.074000000000005 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.18% (0.087 0.09)68.81% (-0.085000000000008 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Eintracht Frankfurt 54.71%
    Heidenheim 22.76%
    Draw 22.53%
Eintracht FrankfurtDrawHeidenheim
2-1 @ 9.84% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.3% (-0.093999999999999 -0.09)
2-0 @ 8.71% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.14% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
3-0 @ 5.43% (0.043 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.47% (0.041 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.87% (0.054 0.05)
4-0 @ 2.54% (0.043 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.62% (0.034 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.08% (0.03 0.03)
5-0 @ 0.95% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 54.71%
1-1 @ 10.51% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.56% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.97% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.31% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.53%
1-2 @ 5.94% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-1 @ 5.61% (-0.097 -0.1)
0-2 @ 3.17% (-0.049 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.24% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.09% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.19% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 22.76%

How you voted: Frankfurt vs Heidenheim

Eintracht Frankfurt
50.0%
Draw
35.7%
Heidenheim
14.3%
28
Head to Head
Dec 20, 2017 7.45pm
Third Round
Heidenheim
1-2
Frankfurt
Schnatterer (96')
Dovedan (56'), Feick (78')
Haller (109')
Hasebe (106')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern15113147133436
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1595137211632
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1583435231227
4RB Leipzig158342420427
5Mainz 05Mainz157442820825
6Borussia DortmundDortmund157442822625
7Werder Bremen157442625125
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach157352520524
9Freiburg157352124-324
10Stuttgart156542925423
11Wolfsburg156363228421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin154561419-517
13Augsburg154471732-1516
14St Pauli154291219-714
15Hoffenheim153572028-814
16Heidenheim1531111833-1510
17Holstein Kiel1522111938-198
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1513111335-226
> Bundesliga Full Table


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