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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 55.37%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 21.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.64%), while for a Werder Bremen win it was 1-2 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heidenheim would win this match.
Result | ||
Heidenheim | Draw | Werder Bremen |
55.37% ( 2.77) | 22.65% ( -0.25) | 21.98% ( -2.51) |
Both teams to score 55.83% ( -2.32) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.3% ( -1.59) | 43.7% ( 1.6) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.91% ( -1.58) | 66.1% ( 1.59) |
Heidenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.35% ( 0.39) | 15.66% ( -0.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.31% ( 0.71) | 44.69% ( -0.71) |
Werder Bremen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.19% ( -3.06) | 33.81% ( 3.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.53% ( -3.46) | 70.47% ( 3.47) |
Score Analysis |
Heidenheim | Draw | Werder Bremen |
2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0.13) 1-0 @ 9.82% ( 0.79) 2-0 @ 9.1% ( 0.84) 3-1 @ 6.1% ( 0.16) 3-0 @ 5.63% ( 0.59) 3-2 @ 3.31% ( -0.2) 4-1 @ 2.83% ( 0.11) 4-0 @ 2.61% ( 0.3) 4-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.07) 5-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.12) Other @ 2.57% Total : 55.37% | 1-1 @ 10.64% 2-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.39) 0-0 @ 5.29% ( 0.36) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.18) Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.64% | 1-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.51) 0-1 @ 5.74% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.32) 1-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.38) 2-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.32) 0-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.22) Other @ 2.21% Total : 21.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 31 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 77 | 22 | 55 | 81 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 31 | 22 | 3 | 6 | 89 | 38 | 51 | 69 |
3 | Stuttgart | 31 | 20 | 4 | 7 | 70 | 38 | 32 | 64 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 73 | 35 | 38 | 62 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 31 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 59 | 39 | 20 | 57 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 47 | 42 | 5 | 45 |
7 | Freiburg | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 40 |
8 | Augsburg | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 48 | 52 | -4 | 39 |
9 | Hoffenheim | 31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 55 | 63 | -8 | 39 |
10 | Heidenheim | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 52 | -8 | 37 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 41 | 50 | -9 | 37 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 34 |
13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 53 | 60 | -7 | 32 |
14 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 30 |
15 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 31 | 6 | 12 | 13 | 37 | 62 | -25 | 30 |
16 | Mainz 05Mainz | 31 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 28 |
17 | FC Koln | 31 | 4 | 11 | 16 | 24 | 54 | -30 | 23 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 31 | 3 | 8 | 20 | 30 | 73 | -43 | 17 |
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