MX23RW : Tuesday, May 21 17:23:24| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 6
Sep 10, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Rhein-Neckar-Arena
Mainz logo

Hoffenheim
4 - 1
Mainz 05

Kramaric (53'), Promel (69'), Dabour (80'), Kaderabek (90+2')
Baumgartner (9'), Akpoguma (10'), Vogt (66')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kohr (83')
Svensson (43'), Onisiwo (85'), Bell (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Hoffenheim 1-1 Mainz 05

Hoffenheim have won both home matches with Mainz winning all three away, so something has to give here. With very little to split these two sides, we would not be surprised if both of those winning runs come to an end in the form of a share of the spoils on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 51.33%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 25.24% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (6.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.

Result
HoffenheimDrawMainz 05
51.33%23.42%25.24% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Both teams to score 57.19% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.25% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)43.75% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.86% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)66.14% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.9% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)17.1% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.71% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)47.29% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.98% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)31.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.67% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)67.33% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Hoffenheim 51.33%
    Mainz 05 25.24%
    Draw 23.42%
HoffenheimDrawMainz 05
2-1 @ 9.68%
1-0 @ 9.37% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 8.27%
3-1 @ 5.7%
3-0 @ 4.87%
3-2 @ 3.34%
4-1 @ 2.52%
4-0 @ 2.15%
4-2 @ 1.47%
Other @ 3.96%
Total : 51.33%
1-1 @ 10.96%
2-2 @ 5.67% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 5.3% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.42%
1-2 @ 6.42%
0-1 @ 6.21%
0-2 @ 3.63%
1-3 @ 2.5%
2-3 @ 2.21%
0-3 @ 1.42% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 25.24%

How you voted: Hoffenheim vs Mainz 05

Hoffenheim
52.1%
Draw
25.0%
Mainz 05
22.9%
48
Head to Head
Feb 5, 2022 2.30pm
Sep 11, 2021 2.30pm
Mar 21, 2021 12.30pm
Nov 29, 2020 5pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen34286089246590
2Stuttgart34234778393973
3Bayern MunichBayern34233894454972
4RB Leipzig34198777393865
5Borussia DortmundDortmund34189768432563
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt34111495150147
7Hoffenheim34137146666046
8Heidenheim341012125055-542
9Werder Bremen34119144854-642
10Freiburg34119144558-1342
11Augsburg34109155060-1039
12Wolfsburg34107174156-1537
13Mainz 05Mainz34714133951-1235
14Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach34713145667-1134
15Union BerlinUnion Berlin3496193358-2533
16VfL BochumVfL Bochum34712154274-3233
RFC Koln34512172860-3227
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3438233086-5617


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