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Bundesliga | Gameweek 1
Aug 6, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Borussia-Park
Hoffenheim logo

Borussia M'bach
3 - 1
Hoffenheim

Bensebaini (42'), Thuram (71'), Elvedi (78')
Scally (13')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Skov (25')
Posch (15'), Samassekou (23'), Vogt (75')
Posch (19')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Monchengladbach and Hoffenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Monchengladbach

Last Six:
    Last Game: Oberachern 1-9 Borussia M'bach
    Sunday, July 31 at 2.31pm in DFB-Pokal

    Hoffenheim

    Last Six:
      Last Game: Rodinghausen 0-2 Hoffenheim
      Sunday, July 31 at 2.31pm in DFB-Pokal

      We said: Borussia Monchengladbach 3-1 Hoffenheim

       After a morale-boosting heavy victory in Farke's first competitive game in charge, we can envisage Gladbach beginning Bundesliga life under their new manager with another victory. The hosts appear to have more firepower than their forthcoming opponents, who were less than impressive when requiring extra time to beat a team three divisions below them in the DFB-Pokal on Sunday. Read more.

      Data Analysis

      Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 42.8%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 33.22% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

      The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.82%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Borussia Monchengladbach in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Borussia Monchengladbach.

      Result
      Borussia MonchengladbachDrawHoffenheim
      42.8% (-1.334 -1.33) 23.98% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 33.22% (1.341 1.34)
      Both teams to score 60.7% (0.573 0.57)
      Goals
      Over 2.5Under 2.5
      58.47% (0.521 0.52)41.53% (-0.523 -0.52)
      Over 3.5Under 3.5
      36.07% (0.525 0.52)63.93% (-0.526 -0.53)
      Borussia Monchengladbach Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      80.36% (-0.36199999999999 -0.36)19.64% (0.361 0.36)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      48.39% (-0.594 -0.59)51.61% (0.592 0.59)
      Hoffenheim Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      75.53% (1.049 1.05)24.46% (-1.05 -1.05)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      41.09% (1.455 1.46)58.91% (-1.456 -1.46)
      Score Analysis
          Borussia Monchengladbach 42.8%
          Hoffenheim 33.22%
          Draw 23.98%
      Borussia MonchengladbachDrawHoffenheim
      2-1 @ 8.96% (-0.143 -0.14)
      1-0 @ 7.82% (-0.277 -0.28)
      2-0 @ 6.36% (-0.301 -0.3)
      3-1 @ 4.86% (-0.134 -0.13)
      3-0 @ 3.45% (-0.204 -0.2)
      3-2 @ 3.42% (0.01 0.01)
      4-1 @ 1.98% (-0.077 -0.08)
      4-0 @ 1.41% (-0.1 -0.1)
      4-2 @ 1.39% (-0.012 -0.01)
      Other @ 3.15%
      Total : 42.8%
      		1-1 @ 11.01% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
      2-2 @ 6.31% (0.09 0.09)
      0-0 @ 4.81% (-0.114 -0.11)
      3-3 @ 1.61% (0.053 0.05)
      Other @ 0.25%
      Total : 23.98%
      		1-2 @ 7.75% (0.198 0.2)
      0-1 @ 6.77% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
      0-2 @ 4.76% (0.174 0.17)
      1-3 @ 3.64% (0.198 0.2)
      2-3 @ 2.96% (0.13 0.13)
      0-3 @ 2.24% (0.145 0.15)
      1-4 @ 1.28% (0.106 0.11)
      2-4 @ 1.04% (0.075 0.08)
      Other @ 2.78%
      Total : 33.22%

      How you voted: Borussia M'bach vs Hoffenheim

      Borussia Monchengladbach
      70.4%
      Draw
      16.7%
      Hoffenheim
      13.0%
      54
      Head to Head
      May 14, 2022 2.30pm
      Borussia M'bach
      5-1
      Hoffenheim
      Stindl (26'), Plea (44' pen.), Hofmann (45+1', 68'), Embolo (53')
      Stindl (10')
      Kramaric (3')
      Samassekou (31'), Vogt (60')
      Dec 18, 2021 2.30pm
      Hoffenheim
      1-1
      Borussia M'bach
      Akpoguma (90+1')
      Kaderabek (55'), Geiger (90+4')
      Embolo (35')
      Bensebaini (62'), Lainer (90+4')
      Apr 21, 2021 7.30pm
      Hoffenheim
      3-2
      Borussia M'bach
      Kramaric (48', 65'), Bebou (60')
      Grillitsch (10'), Posch (53'), Kaderabek (90')
      Plea (25'), Lazaro (45+1')
      Dec 19, 2020 2.30pm
      Borussia M'bach
      1-2
      Hoffenheim
      Stindl (34' pen.)
      Ginter (90+3')
      Thuram (79')
      Kramaric (75'), Sessegnon (86')
      Geiger (38'), Posch (79'), Rudy (87')
      Feb 22, 2020 2.30pm
      Borussia M'bach
      1-1
      Hoffenheim
      Ginter (11')
      Zakaria (21'), Stindl (39'), Wendt (56'), Herrmann (90')
      Ribeiro (90')
      Skov (7'), Baumgartner (71'), Beier (89'), Ribeiro (90')
      rhs 2.0
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      Tables header RHS
      TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
      1Bayern MunichBayern129303782930
      2Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1282231161526
      3Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen126512819923
      4RB Leipzig126331914521
      5Borussia DortmundDortmund126242319420
      6Freiburg126241616020
      7Mainz 05Mainz125432014619
      8Wolfsburg125342519618
      9Stuttgart124532321217
      10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach125251817117
      11Union BerlinUnion Berlin124441011-116
      12Werder Bremen124441924-516
      13Augsburg124351423-915
      14Hoffenheim123361724-712
      15St Pauli123271015-511
      16Heidenheim123181524-910
      17Holstein Kiel121291331-185
      18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1202101033-232
      > Bundesliga Full Table


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