Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 69.55%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 12.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.86%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.7%), while for an Arminia Bielefeld win it was 0-1 (3.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for FC Koln in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for FC Koln.