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Bundesliga | Gameweek 33
May 16, 2021 at 5pm UK
Coface Arena
Dortmund logo

Mainz 05
1 - 3
Dortmund

Quaison (90+1' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-2)
Guerreiro (23'), Reus (42'), Brandt (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 55.49%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 21.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.76%) and 0-2 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a Mainz 05 win it was 2-1 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Mainz 05DrawBorussia Dortmund
21.92%22.58%55.49%
Both teams to score 55.96%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.51%43.49%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.11%65.89%
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.25%33.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.59%70.4%
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.46%15.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.53%44.47%
Score Analysis
    Mainz 05 21.92%
    Borussia Dortmund 55.49%
    Draw 22.58%
Mainz 05DrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 5.76%
1-0 @ 5.7%
2-0 @ 3.09%
3-1 @ 2.09%
3-2 @ 1.94%
3-0 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 21.92%
1-1 @ 10.6%
2-2 @ 5.36%
0-0 @ 5.24%
3-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.58%
1-2 @ 9.87%
0-1 @ 9.76%
0-2 @ 9.09%
1-3 @ 6.13%
0-3 @ 5.64%
2-3 @ 3.33%
1-4 @ 2.85%
0-4 @ 2.63%
2-4 @ 1.55%
1-5 @ 1.06%
0-5 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 55.49%

How you voted: Mainz 05 vs Dortmund

Mainz 05
7.9%
Draw
9.5%
Borussia Dortmund
82.5%
63
Head to Head
Jan 16, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 16
Dortmund
1-1
Mainz
Meunier (73')
Can (68')
Oztunali (57')
Mwene (40'), Hack (47')
Jun 17, 2020 7.30pm
Dec 14, 2019 2.30pm
Apr 13, 2019 5.30pm
Gameweek 29
Dortmund
2-1
Mainz
Sancho (17', 24')
Quaison (83')
Mateta (42')
Nov 24, 2018 2.30pm
Gameweek 12
Mainz
1-2
Dortmund
Quaison (70')
Hack (26'), Kunde (30')
Alcacer (66'), Piszczek (76')
Delaney (34')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Vikings
9-27
Rams
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern16123148133539
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen16105140231735
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1693436231330
4RB Leipzig169342822630
5Mainz 05Mainz1684430201028
6Freiburg168352426-227
7Stuttgart167543025526
8Borussia DortmundDortmund167453025525
9Werder Bremen167452829-125
10Wolfsburg167363328524
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach167362521424
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin164571421-717
13Augsburg164481733-1616
14St Pauli1642101220-814
15Hoffenheim163582029-914
16Heidenheim1641112033-1313
17Holstein Kiel1622122141-208
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1613121337-246


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