MX23RW : Thursday, January 30 20:37:54| >> :300:86500:86500:
Augsburg logo
Leverkusen logo
Bayern logo
Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
Hoffenheim logo
Mainz logo
Leipzig logo
Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
Werder Bremen logo
Wolfsburg
Mainz logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 33
May 16, 2021 at 5pm UK
Coface Arena
Dortmund logo

Mainz 05
1 - 3
Dortmund

Quaison (90+1' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-2)
Guerreiro (23'), Reus (42'), Brandt (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 55.49%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 21.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.76%) and 0-2 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a Mainz 05 win it was 2-1 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Mainz 05DrawBorussia Dortmund
21.92%22.58%55.49%
Both teams to score 55.96%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.51%43.49%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.11%65.89%
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.25%33.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.59%70.4%
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.46%15.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.53%44.47%
Score Analysis
    Mainz 05 21.92%
    Borussia Dortmund 55.49%
    Draw 22.58%
Mainz 05DrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 5.76%
1-0 @ 5.7%
2-0 @ 3.09%
3-1 @ 2.09%
3-2 @ 1.94%
3-0 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 21.92%
1-1 @ 10.6%
2-2 @ 5.36%
0-0 @ 5.24%
3-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.58%
1-2 @ 9.87%
0-1 @ 9.76%
0-2 @ 9.09%
1-3 @ 6.13%
0-3 @ 5.64%
2-3 @ 3.33%
1-4 @ 2.85%
0-4 @ 2.63%
2-4 @ 1.55%
1-5 @ 1.06%
0-5 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 55.49%

How you voted: Mainz 05 vs Dortmund

Mainz 05
7.9%
Draw
9.5%
Borussia Dortmund
82.5%
63
Head to Head
Jan 16, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 16
Dortmund
1-1
Mainz
Meunier (73')
Can (68')
Oztunali (57')
Mwene (40'), Hack (47')
Jun 17, 2020 7.30pm
Dec 14, 2019 2.30pm
Apr 13, 2019 5.30pm
Gameweek 29
Dortmund
2-1
Mainz
Sancho (17', 24')
Quaison (83')
Mateta (42')
Nov 24, 2018 2.30pm
Gameweek 12
Mainz
1-2
Dortmund
Quaison (70')
Hack (26'), Kunde (30')
Alcacer (66'), Piszczek (76')
Delaney (34')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern19153158164248
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen19126146262042
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt19114444261837
4Stuttgart199553628832
5RB Leipzig199553429532
6Mainz 05Mainz1994633231031
7Wolfsburg198474234828
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach198383029127
9Werder Bremen197663336-327
10Freiburg198382636-1027
11Borussia DortmundDortmund197573433126
12Augsburg197482334-1125
13St Pauli1962111721-420
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin195591627-1120
15Hoffenheim194692537-1218
16Heidenheim1942132440-1614
17Holstein Kiel1933132848-2012
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1924131743-2610


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!