Bundesliga | Gameweek 15
Dec 16, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Mewa Arena
Mainz0 - 1Heidenheim
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: FC Koln 0-0 Mainz
Sunday, December 10 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Sunday, December 10 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Heidenheim 3-2 SV Darmstadt 98
Saturday, December 9 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, December 9 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
We said: Mainz 05 2-1 Heidenheim
While a draw will not be surprising, Mainz could inflict another away loss on Heidenheim, whose next defeat on the road would be their seventh. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 47.47%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 28.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 1-2 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mainz 05 | Draw | Heidenheim |
47.47% ( 0.18) | 23.69% ( -0.05) | 28.84% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 59.4% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.76% ( 0.13) | 42.24% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.36% ( 0.13) | 64.64% ( -0.13) |
| Mainz 05 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82% ( 0.12) | 17.99% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.14% ( 0.21) | 48.85% ( -0.21) |
| Heidenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.43% ( -0.02) | 27.57% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.91% ( -0.03) | 63.09% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
Mainz 05 47.47%
Heidenheim 28.84%
Draw 23.69%
| Mainz 05 | Draw | Heidenheim |
| 2-1 @ 9.4% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.51% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.3% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.38% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 4.17% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.46% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.31% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.79% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.49% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.67% Total : 47.47% | 1-1 @ 10.96% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.06% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.96% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.69% | 1-2 @ 7.06% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.39% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 4.12% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.6% 0-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.89% Total : 28.84% |
How you voted: Mainz vs Heidenheim
Mainz 05
53.3%Draw
26.7%Heidenheim
20.0%15
Form Guide
