Home > Football > Bundesliga
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 41.52%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 34.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.88%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
FC Koln | Draw | Mainz 05 |
41.52% ( -0.1) | 24.21% ( -0.02) | 34.27% ( 0.12) |
Both teams to score 60.19% ( 0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.67% ( 0.11) | 42.33% ( -0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.27% ( 0.11) | 64.73% ( -0.11) |
FC Koln Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.45% ( 0.01) | 20.55% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.94% ( 0) | 53.06% ( 0) |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.76% ( 0.12) | 24.24% ( -0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.41% ( 0.17) | 58.59% ( -0.16) |
Score Analysis |
FC Koln | Draw | Mainz 05 |
2-1 @ 8.84% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.88% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 6.24% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.66% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.3% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.29% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.84% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.31% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.3% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.86% Total : 41.52% | 1-1 @ 11.17% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.26% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.98% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.21% | 1-2 @ 7.92% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.06% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.74% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.96% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.86% Total : 34.27% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 18 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 56 | 15 | 41 | 45 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 44 | 24 | 20 | 41 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 36 |
4 | Stuttgart | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 36 | 26 | 10 | 32 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 31 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 28 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 40 | 32 | 8 | 27 |
8 | Freiburg | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 27 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 26 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 25 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 24 |
12 | Augsburg | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 22 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 20 |
14 | St Pauli | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 17 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 17 |
16 | Heidenheim | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 14 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 18 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 26 | 46 | -20 | 11 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 10 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |