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Bundesliga | Gameweek 14
Dec 10, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
RheinEnergieStadion
Mainz logo

FC Koln
0 - 0
Mainz


Martel (50'), Uth (85')
FT

Krauss (58'), Kohr (83'), Papela (84'), Widmer (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between FC Koln and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mainz 0-1 Freiburg
Sunday, December 3 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: FC Koln 1-1 Mainz 05

No team has scored fewer goals than these two sides in the Bundesliga so far this season, meaning we are unlikely to see either goalkeeper troubled on too many occasions at RheinEnergieStadion on Sunday. With both sides appearing set for relegation battles despite previously enjoying a rise up the table in the last couple of years, we can envisage them sharing the spoils with little to split them in terms of quality. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 41.52%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 34.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.88%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
FC KolnDrawMainz 05
41.52% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1) 24.21% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 34.27% (0.122 0.12)
Both teams to score 60.19% (0.099000000000004 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.67% (0.11499999999999 0.11)42.33% (-0.108 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.27% (0.114 0.11)64.73% (-0.108 -0.11)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.45% (0.007000000000005 0.01)20.55% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.94% (0.0040000000000049 0)53.06% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.76% (0.12299999999999 0.12)24.24% (-0.117 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.41% (0.17 0.17)58.59% (-0.16399999999999 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    FC Koln 41.52%
    Mainz 05 34.27%
    Draw 24.21%
FC KolnDrawMainz 05
2-1 @ 8.84% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.88% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 6.24% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.66% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.3% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.29% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.84% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.31% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.3% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 41.52%
1-1 @ 11.17% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.26% (0.012 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.98% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.56% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.21%
1-2 @ 7.92% (0.016 0.02)
0-1 @ 7.06% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.74% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.96% (0.017 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.36% (0.013 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.33% (0.012 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.05% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 34.27%

How you voted: FC Koln vs Mainz

FC Koln
37.5%
Draw
40.6%
Mainz 05
21.9%
32
Head to Head
Apr 15, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 28
FC Koln
1-1
Mainz
Ljubicic (51')
Ajorque (17')
Oct 21, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 11
Mainz
5-0
FC Koln
Ingvartsen (11' pen.), Kohr (35'), Stach (40'), Caricol (73'), Onisiwo (84')
Apr 9, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 29
FC Koln
3-2
Mainz
Skhiri (60'), Ljubicic (78'), Kilian (82')
Chabot (34'), Modeste (79')
Burkardt (14'), Onisiwo (55')
Caricol (36'), Stach (65')
Nov 21, 2021 4.30pm
Gameweek 12
Mainz
1-1
FC Koln
Burkardt (41')
Bell (42'), Szalai (90+1')
Ozcan (47')
Duda (54')
Apr 11, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 28
FC Koln
2-3
Mainz
Duda (43' pen.), Skhiri (61')
Duda (22'), Katterbach (34')
Boetius (11'), Onisiwo (65'), Barreiro (90+1')
Mwene (42')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen31256077225581
2Bayern MunichBayern31223689385169
3Stuttgart31204770383264
4RB Leipzig31195773353862
5Borussia DortmundDortmund31169659392057
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt31111284742545
7Freiburg31117134355-1240
8Augsburg31109124852-439
9Hoffenheim31116145563-839
10Heidenheim31910124452-837
11Werder Bremen31107144150-937
12Wolfsburg3197153751-1434
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach31711135360-732
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin3186172650-2430
15VfL BochumVfL Bochum31612133762-2530
16Mainz 05Mainz31513133249-1728
17FC Koln31411162454-3023
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3138203073-4317


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