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Bundesliga | Gameweek 7
Sep 16, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Coface Arena
Hertha Berlin logo

Mainz 05
1 - 1
Hertha Berlin

Caci (90+4')
Kohr (40'), Mustapha (67'), Onisiwo (74')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Tousart (30')
Plattenhardt (48'), Lukebakio (58'), Dardai (64'), Boetius (65'), Christensen (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Hertha Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Mainz 05 1-1 Hertha Berlin

Hertha have proven much tougher to beat during the early stages of Schwarz's reign, and we expect that to continue on Friday night. Mainz are likely to be missing a couple of key players at both ends of the pitch, which the visitors can take advantage of by extending their unbeaten run. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 47.31%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 26.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 0-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Mainz 05DrawHertha Berlin
47.31% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07) 25.83% (0.023 0.02) 26.86% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
Both teams to score 50.92% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.31% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)52.68% (0.068000000000005 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.67% (-0.064 -0.06)74.32% (0.060999999999993 0.06)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.73% (-0.065000000000012 -0.07)22.26% (0.062000000000001 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.29% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)55.71% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Hertha Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.51%34.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.79% (0.0019999999999989 0)71.2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Mainz 05 47.3%
    Hertha Berlin 26.86%
    Draw 25.82%
Mainz 05DrawHertha Berlin
1-0 @ 11.53% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.22% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.66% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.62% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.34% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.46% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.73% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.63% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.92% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 47.3%
1-1 @ 12.27% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.68% (0.021 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.91% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 25.82%
0-1 @ 8.17% (0.022 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.54% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.35% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.32% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 1.74% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.54% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 26.86%

How you voted: Mainz 05 vs Hertha Berlin

Mainz 05
61.5%
Draw
30.2%
Hertha Berlin
8.3%
96
Head to Head
May 7, 2022 5.30pm
Hertha Berlin
1-2
Mainz 05
Selke (45+5' pen.)
Dardai (56'), Darida (80'), Ascacibar (88')
Widmer (25'), Bell (81')
Svensson (45+4'), Caricol (65')
Dec 14, 2021 7.30pm
Mainz 05
4-0
Hertha Berlin
Jae-sung (19'), Hack (41'), Widmer (49'), Boetius (79')

Serdar (36'), Stark (59')
May 3, 2021 5pm
Mainz 05
1-1
Hertha Berlin
Mwene (40')
Bell (18'), Barreiro (72')
Tousart (36')
Tousart (39'), Cunha (67'), Ascacibar (74')
Dec 15, 2020 7.30pm
Feb 8, 2020 2.30pm
Hertha Berlin
1-3
Mainz 05
Boyata (84')
Ascacibar (36'), Wolf (70'), Boyata (92')
Wolf (89')
Quaison (17', 82', 94')
Latza (69')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern119203672929
2Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1172227161123
3RB Leipzig11632189921
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen115512618820
5Borussia DortmundDortmund116142218419
6Freiburg115241315-217
7Stuttgart114432119216
8Union BerlinUnion Berlin1144399016
9Wolfsburg114342018215
10Werder Bremen114341722-515
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
12Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
13Hoffenheim113351722-512
14Augsburg113351323-1012
15Heidenheim113171520-510
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum110291032-222


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