MX23RW : Monday, January 13 14:41:53| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 7
Sep 16, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Coface Arena
Hertha Berlin logo

Mainz 05
1 - 1
Hertha Berlin

Caci (90+4')
Kohr (40'), Mustapha (67'), Onisiwo (74')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Tousart (30')
Plattenhardt (48'), Lukebakio (58'), Dardai (64'), Boetius (65'), Christensen (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Hertha Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Mainz 05 1-1 Hertha Berlin

Hertha have proven much tougher to beat during the early stages of Schwarz's reign, and we expect that to continue on Friday night. Mainz are likely to be missing a couple of key players at both ends of the pitch, which the visitors can take advantage of by extending their unbeaten run. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 47.31%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 26.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 0-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Mainz 05DrawHertha Berlin
47.31% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07) 25.83% (0.023 0.02) 26.86% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
Both teams to score 50.92% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.31% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)52.68% (0.068000000000005 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.67% (-0.064 -0.06)74.32% (0.060999999999993 0.06)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.73% (-0.065000000000012 -0.07)22.26% (0.062000000000001 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.29% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)55.71% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Hertha Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.51%34.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.79% (0.0019999999999989 0)71.2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Mainz 05 47.3%
    Hertha Berlin 26.86%
    Draw 25.82%
Mainz 05DrawHertha Berlin
1-0 @ 11.53% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.22% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.66% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.62% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.34% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.46% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.73% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.63% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.92% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 47.3%
1-1 @ 12.27% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.68% (0.021 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.91% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 25.82%
0-1 @ 8.17% (0.022 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.54% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.35% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.32% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 1.74% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.54% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 26.86%

How you voted: Mainz 05 vs Hertha Berlin

Mainz 05
61.5%
Draw
30.2%
Hertha Berlin
8.3%
96
Head to Head
May 7, 2022 5.30pm
Hertha Berlin
1-2
Mainz 05
Selke (45+5' pen.)
Dardai (56'), Darida (80'), Ascacibar (88')
Widmer (25'), Bell (81')
Svensson (45+4'), Caricol (65')
Dec 14, 2021 7.30pm
Mainz 05
4-0
Hertha Berlin
Jae-sung (19'), Hack (41'), Widmer (49'), Boetius (79')

Serdar (36'), Stark (59')
May 3, 2021 5pm
Mainz 05
1-1
Hertha Berlin
Mwene (40')
Bell (18'), Barreiro (72')
Tousart (36')
Tousart (39'), Cunha (67'), Ascacibar (74')
Dec 15, 2020 7.30pm
Feb 8, 2020 2.30pm
Hertha Berlin
1-3
Mainz 05
Boyata (84')
Ascacibar (36'), Wolf (70'), Boyata (92')
Wolf (89')
Quaison (17', 82', 94')
Latza (69')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern16123148133539
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen16105140231735
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1693436231330
4RB Leipzig169342822630
5Mainz 05Mainz1684430201028
6Freiburg168352426-227
7Stuttgart167543025526
8Borussia DortmundDortmund167453025525
9Werder Bremen167452829-125
10Wolfsburg167363328524
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach167362521424
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin164571421-717
13Augsburg164481733-1616
14St Pauli1642101220-814
15Hoffenheim163582029-914
16Heidenheim1641112033-1313
17Holstein Kiel1622122141-208
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1613121337-246


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