We said: Mainz 05 1-1 Hertha Berlin
Hertha have proven much tougher to beat during the early stages of Schwarz's reign, and we expect that to continue on Friday night.
Mainz are likely to be missing a couple of key players at both ends of the pitch, which the visitors can take advantage of by extending their unbeaten run.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 47.31%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 26.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 0-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.