MX23RW : Monday, January 20 22:29:11| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 17
Jan 13, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
OPEL ARENA
Wolfsburg

Mainz
1 - 1
Wolfsburg

Widmer (61')
Widmer (3'), van den Berg (46'), Fernandes (56')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Cerny (12')
Vranckx (16'), Jenz (27'), Casteels (54'), Svanberg (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Wolfsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mainz 05

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Feyenoord 1-2 Mainz
Saturday, January 6 at 11.30am in Club Friendlies 1

Wolfsburg

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolfsburg 1-2 Bayern
Wednesday, December 20 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Mainz 05 1-1 Wolfsburg

 Neither side were scoring freely prior to the winter break, and it is difficult to imagine things changing much here. The respective teamsheets could prove telling, as if either manager opts to switch from a back five to a back four, that could suggest a more offensive gameplan. Given Mainz's precarious position in the table and Wolfsburg's poor away form this season, we can envisage these sides sharing the spoils. This would represent a reasonably positive start to 2024 for both teams. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 44.69%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.01%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 2-1 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Mainz 05DrawWolfsburg
30.73% (0.053000000000001 0.05) 24.57% (-0.066999999999997 -0.07) 44.69% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Both teams to score 57.51% (0.259 0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.77% (0.327 0.33)45.23% (-0.332 -0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.43% (0.312 0.31)67.57% (-0.316 -0.32)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.2% (0.199 0.2)27.8% (-0.203 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.61% (0.257 0.26)63.39% (-0.261 -0.26)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.66% (0.137 0.14)20.34% (-0.141 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.27% (0.22 0.22)52.73% (-0.224 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    Mainz 05 30.73%
    Wolfsburg 44.69%
    Draw 24.57%
Mainz 05DrawWolfsburg
2-1 @ 7.38% (0.012 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.24% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
2-0 @ 4.63% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.15% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.51% (0.029 0.03)
3-0 @ 1.98% (0.006 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.01% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 30.73%
1-1 @ 11.52% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.88% (0.035 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.65% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.33% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.57%
1-2 @ 9.18% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-1 @ 9.01% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
0-2 @ 7.17% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-3 @ 4.87% (0.022 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.81% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 3.12% (0.032 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.94% (0.017 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.52% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.24% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 44.69%

How you voted: Mainz vs Wolfsburg

Mainz 05
30.8%
Draw
34.6%
Wolfsburg
34.6%
26
Head to Head
Apr 30, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 30
Wolfsburg
3-0
Mainz
Wind (5', 28'), Bornauw (13')
> Preview
Nov 5, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 13
Mainz
0-3
Wolfsburg
Wimmer (33'), Arnold (70'), Baku (84')
> Preview
Apr 22, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 31
Wolfsburg
5-0
Mainz
Wind (8', 42'), Kruse (24' pen., 35', 45+2')

Kohr (81'), Hack (82')
Tauer (23')
> Preview
Dec 4, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 14
Mainz
3-0
Wolfsburg
Burkardt (2'), Stach (4'), Lacroix (90' og.)
Barreiro (78')

Mbabu (82')
> Preview
May 22, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 34
Wolfsburg
2-3
Mainz
Philipp (47'), Victor (66')
Arnold (51'), Schlager (56'), Philipp (75')
Boetius (44'), Quaison (54'), Bell (77')
Barreiro (29'), Bell (40'), Boetius (61')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern18143156154145
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen18125144242041
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt18113442241836
4Stuttgart1895436261032
5RB Leipzig189453227531
6Mainz 05Mainz188463123828
7Wolfsburg188374032827
8Freiburg188372534-927
9Werder Bremen187563134-326
10Borussia DortmundDortmund187473231125
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach187382729-224
12Augsburg186482133-1222
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin185581624-820
14St Pauli1852111421-717
15Hoffenheim184592335-1217
16Heidenheim1842122338-1514
17Holstein Kiel1832132646-2011
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1824121740-2310
> Bundesliga Full Table


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