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Bundesliga
Wolfsburg
Bundesliga | Gameweek 16
Dec 20, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
VOLKSWAGEN ARENA
Bayern logo

Wolfsburg
1 - 2
Bayern

Arnold (45+1')
Zesiger (11'), Majer (46'), Baku (59'), Tomas (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Musiala (33'), Kane (43')
Pavlovic (20'), Guerreiro (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Bundesliga clash between Wolfsburg and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wolfsburg

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: SV Darmstadt 98 0-1 Wolfsburg
Saturday, December 16 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 3-0 Stuttgart
Sunday, December 17 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Wolfsburg 0-2 Bayern Munich

 With just two goals from four December fixtures so far - and a terrible record versus Bayern in the Bundesliga - Wolfsburg are set to end 2023 on a down note. The German champions may be short of their brilliant best right now, but they clearly possess sufficient firepower to take care of business at the Volkswagen Arena. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 66.84%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 15.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.88%) and 1-3 (7.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.93%), while for a Wolfsburg win it was 2-1 (4.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Bayern Munich in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bayern Munich.

Result
WolfsburgDrawBayern Munich
15.27% (-0.344 -0.34) 17.88% (-0.026 -0.03) 66.84% (0.36999999999999 0.37)
Both teams to score 60.01% (-0.812 -0.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.71% (-0.633 -0.63)32.28% (0.633 0.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.1% (-0.74 -0.74)53.9% (0.74 0.74)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.92% (-0.82899999999999 -0.83)34.07% (0.829 0.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.23% (-0.904 -0.9)70.76% (0.905 0.91)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.03% (-0.086999999999989 -0.09)8.96% (0.0871 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.42% (-0.209 -0.21)30.57% (0.209 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Wolfsburg 15.27%
    Bayern Munich 66.84%
    Draw 17.88%
WolfsburgDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 4.27% (-0.064 -0.06)
1-0 @ 3.29% (0.038 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.85% (-0.078 -0.08)
2-0 @ 1.77% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-1 @ 1.53% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 15.27%
1-1 @ 7.93% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.15% (-0.099 -0.1)
0-0 @ 3.05% (0.103 0.1)
3-3 @ 1.49% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 17.88%
1-2 @ 9.56% (0.035 0.04)
0-2 @ 8.88% (0.231 0.23)
1-3 @ 7.69% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-1 @ 7.36% (0.22 0.22)
0-3 @ 7.15% (0.158 0.16)
1-4 @ 4.64% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-4 @ 4.31% (0.078 0.08)
2-3 @ 4.14% (-0.097 -0.1)
2-4 @ 2.5% (-0.069 -0.07)
1-5 @ 2.24% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-5 @ 2.08% (0.029 0.03)
2-5 @ 1.21% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 5.08%
Total : 66.84%

How you voted: Wolfsburg vs Bayern

Wolfsburg
19.2%
Draw
6.8%
Bayern Munich
74.0%
73
Head to Head
Feb 5, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 19
Wolfsburg
2-4
Bayern
Kaminski (44'), Svanberg (80')
Coman (9', 14'), Muller (19'), Musiala (73')
> Preview
Aug 14, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 2
Bayern
2-0
Wolfsburg
Musiala (33'), Muller (44')
Hernandez (15'), Ulreich (23')

Svanberg (52')
> Preview
May 14, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 34
Wolfsburg
2-2
Bayern
Wind (45'), Kruse (58')
Kohfeldt (38'), Nmecha (42')
Stanisic (17'), Lewandowski (40')
Upamecano (77'), Richards (88')
> Preview
Dec 17, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 17
Bayern
4-0
Wolfsburg
Muller (7'), Upamecano (57'), Sane (59'), Lewandowski (87')
> Preview
Apr 17, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 29
Wolfsburg
2-3
Bayern
Weghorst (35'), Philipp (54')
Otavio (57'), Mbabu (86')
Musiala (15', 37'), Maxim Choupo-Moting (24')
Hernandez (79')
> Preview
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern15113147133436
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1595137211632
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1583435231227
4RB Leipzig158342420427
5Mainz 05Mainz157442820825
6Werder Bremen157442625125
7Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach157352520524
8Freiburg157352124-324
9Stuttgart156542925423
10Borussia DortmundDortmund146442521422
11Wolfsburg146353125621
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin154561419-517
13Augsburg154471732-1516
14St Pauli154291219-714
15Hoffenheim153572028-814
16Heidenheim1431101831-1310
17Holstein Kiel1522111938-198
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1403111135-243
> Bundesliga Full Table


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