MX23RW : Tuesday, January 21 07:27:36| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg
Bundesliga | Gameweek 16
Dec 20, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
VOLKSWAGEN ARENA
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Wolfsburg
1 - 2
Bayern

Arnold (45+1')
Zesiger (11'), Majer (46'), Baku (59'), Tomas (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Musiala (33'), Kane (43')
Pavlovic (20'), Guerreiro (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Bundesliga clash between Wolfsburg and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bayern 3-0 Stuttgart
Sunday, December 17 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Wolfsburg 0-2 Bayern Munich

With just two goals from four December fixtures so far - and a terrible record versus Bayern in the Bundesliga - Wolfsburg are set to end 2023 on a down note. The German champions may be short of their brilliant best right now, but they clearly possess sufficient firepower to take care of business at the Volkswagen Arena. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 66.84%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 15.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.88%) and 1-3 (7.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.93%), while for a Wolfsburg win it was 2-1 (4.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Bayern Munich in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bayern Munich.

Result
WolfsburgDrawBayern Munich
15.27% (-0.344 -0.34) 17.88% (-0.026 -0.03) 66.84% (0.36999999999999 0.37)
Both teams to score 60.01% (-0.812 -0.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.71% (-0.633 -0.63)32.28% (0.633 0.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.1% (-0.74 -0.74)53.9% (0.74 0.74)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.92% (-0.82899999999999 -0.83)34.07% (0.829 0.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.23% (-0.904 -0.9)70.76% (0.905 0.91)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.03% (-0.086999999999989 -0.09)8.96% (0.0871 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.42% (-0.209 -0.21)30.57% (0.209 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Wolfsburg 15.27%
    Bayern Munich 66.84%
    Draw 17.88%
WolfsburgDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 4.27% (-0.064 -0.06)
1-0 @ 3.29% (0.038 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.85% (-0.078 -0.08)
2-0 @ 1.77% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-1 @ 1.53% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 15.27%
1-1 @ 7.93% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.15% (-0.099 -0.1)
0-0 @ 3.05% (0.103 0.1)
3-3 @ 1.49% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 17.88%
1-2 @ 9.56% (0.035 0.04)
0-2 @ 8.88% (0.231 0.23)
1-3 @ 7.69% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-1 @ 7.36% (0.22 0.22)
0-3 @ 7.15% (0.158 0.16)
1-4 @ 4.64% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-4 @ 4.31% (0.078 0.08)
2-3 @ 4.14% (-0.097 -0.1)
2-4 @ 2.5% (-0.069 -0.07)
1-5 @ 2.24% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-5 @ 2.08% (0.029 0.03)
2-5 @ 1.21% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 5.08%
Total : 66.84%

How you voted: Wolfsburg vs Bayern

Wolfsburg
19.2%
Draw
6.8%
Bayern Munich
74.0%
73
Head to Head
Feb 5, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 19
Wolfsburg
2-4
Bayern
Kaminski (44'), Svanberg (80')
Coman (9', 14'), Muller (19'), Musiala (73')
Aug 14, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 2
Bayern
2-0
Wolfsburg
Musiala (33'), Muller (44')
Hernandez (15'), Ulreich (23')

Svanberg (52')
May 14, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 34
Wolfsburg
2-2
Bayern
Wind (45'), Kruse (58')
Kohfeldt (38'), Nmecha (42')
Stanisic (17'), Lewandowski (40')
Upamecano (77'), Richards (88')
Dec 17, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 17
Bayern
4-0
Wolfsburg
Muller (7'), Upamecano (57'), Sane (59'), Lewandowski (87')
Apr 17, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 29
Wolfsburg
2-3
Bayern
Weghorst (35'), Philipp (54')
Otavio (57'), Mbabu (86')
Musiala (15', 37'), Maxim Choupo-Moting (24')
Hernandez (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern18143156154145
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen18125144242041
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt18113442241836
4Stuttgart1895436261032
5RB Leipzig189453227531
6Mainz 05Mainz188463123828
7Wolfsburg188374032827
8Freiburg188372534-927
9Werder Bremen187563134-326
10Borussia DortmundDortmund187473231125
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach187382729-224
12Augsburg186482133-1222
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin185581624-820
14St Pauli1852111421-717
15Hoffenheim184592335-1217
16Heidenheim1842122338-1514
17Holstein Kiel1832132646-2011
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1824121740-2310


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