MX23RW : Saturday, January 11 19:57:36| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 2
Aug 13, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
Koln logo

RB Leipzig
2 - 2
FC Koln

Werner (36'), Nkunku (56')
Henrichs (89')
Szoboszlai (45+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Dietz (40'), Gvardiol (72' og.)
Thielmann (18'), Hubers (48'), Adamyan (76'), Kainz (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and FC Koln, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: RB Leipzig 3-1 FC Koln

We expect a comfortable victory on home soil for Leipzig, whose fans will be buoyed by the return of Werner following his £25m move from Chelsea. Koln are a massively improved outfit under Baumgart but they were helped by Schalke's early dismissal last weekend, with Leipzig likely to have too much firepower for them. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 43.93%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 32.41% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.62%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-2 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawFC Koln
43.93% (-0.129 -0.13) 23.66% (-0.041 -0.04) 32.41% (0.167 0.17)
Both teams to score 61.56% (0.224 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.73% (0.26 0.26)40.27% (-0.264 -0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.36% (0.269 0.27)62.64% (-0.272 -0.27)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.35% (0.052000000000007 0.05)18.64% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.04% (0.088000000000001 0.09)49.96% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.67% (0.22500000000001 0.23)24.33% (-0.228 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.28% (0.318 0.32)58.72% (-0.321 -0.32)
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 43.93%
    FC Koln 32.41%
    Draw 23.66%
RB LeipzigDrawFC Koln
2-1 @ 9.04% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-0 @ 7.62% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-0 @ 6.4% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-1 @ 5.06% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 3.58% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.58% (0.021 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.13% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 1.5% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.5% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 43.93%
1-1 @ 10.77% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 6.39% (0.028 0.03)
0-0 @ 4.54% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.69% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.66%
1-2 @ 7.61% (0.021 0.02)
0-1 @ 6.41% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-2 @ 4.53% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 3.59% (0.033 0.03)
2-3 @ 3.01% (0.032 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.14% (0.016 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.27% (0.02 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.06% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 32.41%

How you voted: RB Leipzig vs FC Koln

RB Leipzig
90.7%
Draw
4.0%
FC Koln
5.3%
75
Head to Head
Feb 11, 2022 7.30pm
RB Leipzig
3-1
FC Koln
Nkunku (25'), Olmo (54'), Angelino (57')
Gvardiol (62')
Lemperle (90+1')
Thielmann (9'), Hubers (35')
Sep 18, 2021 5.30pm
Apr 20, 2021 5.30pm
FC Koln
2-1
RB Leipzig
Hector (46', 60')
Ehizibue (23'), Czichos (90+6')
Haidara (59')
Upamecano (56'), Kampl (83'), Haidara (90+6')
Dec 19, 2020 2.30pm
Jun 1, 2020 7.30pm
FC Koln
2-4
RB Leipzig
Cordoba (7'), Modeste (55')
Leistner (30'), Drexler (62')
Schick (20'), Nkunku (38'), Werner (50'), Olmo (57')
Forsberg (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
9.30pm
Chargers
@
Texans
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern16123148133539
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen16105140231735
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1683436231327
4RB Leipzig158342420427
5Freiburg168352426-227
6Mainz 05Mainz1674430201025
7Borussia DortmundDortmund167453025525
8Werder Bremen157442625125
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach167362521424
10Stuttgart156542925423
11Wolfsburg166363328521
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin164561421-717
13Augsburg154471732-1516
14St Pauli164291220-814
15Hoffenheim163572029-914
16Heidenheim1631112033-1310
17Holstein Kiel1622122141-208
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1613111337-246


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