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Bundesliga | Gameweek 1
Aug 7, 2022 at 4.30pm UK
RheinEnergieStadion
Schalke

FC Koln
3 - 1
Schalke

Kilian (49'), Kainz (62'), Ljubicic (80')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bulter (76')
Brunner (51')
Drexler (35')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between FC Koln and Schalke 04, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: FC Koln 2-1 Schalke 04

Putting five goals past a fifth-tier side is hardly a good indication as to how well Schalke will fare back in the Bundesliga, but Koln's confidence will have been rocked by their own DFB-Pokal exit. The injuries to Baumgart's attacking options are not letting up either, but we still have faith in a Modeste-led Billy Goats side to shade a close contest in front of their own fans. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 40.67%. A win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 35.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.19%) and 2-0 (5.81%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win was 1-2 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Koln would win this match.

Result
FC KolnDrawSchalke 04
40.67% (3.302 3.3) 23.76% (0.07 0.07) 35.57% (-3.372 -3.37)
Both teams to score 62.16% (-0.477 -0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.12% (-0.534 -0.53)39.88% (0.535 0.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.76% (-0.558 -0.56)62.24% (0.558 0.56)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.1% (1.332 1.33)19.9% (-1.332 -1.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.97% (2.106 2.11)52.03% (-2.107 -2.11)
Schalke 04 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.61% (-1.919 -1.92)22.39% (1.919 1.92)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.1% (-2.957 -2.96)55.89% (2.956 2.96)
Score Analysis
    FC Koln 40.67%
    Schalke 04 35.57%
    Draw 23.76%
FC KolnDrawSchalke 04
2-1 @ 8.69% (0.413 0.41)
1-0 @ 7.19% (0.458 0.46)
2-0 @ 5.81% (0.588 0.59)
3-1 @ 4.68% (0.4 0.4)
3-2 @ 3.5% (0.108 0.11)
3-0 @ 3.13% (0.43 0.43)
4-1 @ 1.89% (0.231 0.23)
4-2 @ 1.41% (0.098 0.1)
4-0 @ 1.26% (0.217 0.22)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 40.67%
1-1 @ 10.76% (0.08 0.08)
2-2 @ 6.5% (-0.062 -0.06)
0-0 @ 4.46% (0.11 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.75% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.76%
1-2 @ 8.06% (-0.417 -0.42)
0-1 @ 6.67% (-0.226 -0.23)
0-2 @ 4.99% (-0.478 -0.48)
1-3 @ 4.02% (-0.461 -0.46)
2-3 @ 3.24% (-0.227 -0.23)
0-3 @ 2.49% (-0.402 -0.4)
1-4 @ 1.5% (-0.273 -0.27)
2-4 @ 1.21% (-0.163 -0.16)
0-4 @ 0.93% (-0.216 -0.22)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 35.57%

How you voted: FC Koln vs Schalke

FC Koln
61.3%
Draw
13.3%
Schalke 04
25.3%
75
Head to Head
May 22, 2021 2.30pm
Jan 20, 2021 5.30pm
Schalke
1-2
FC Koln
Hoppe (57')
Stambouli (49'), Boujellab (89')
Czichos (31'), Thielmann (90+3')
Horn (89')
Feb 29, 2020 5.30pm
FC Koln
3-0
Schalke
Bornauw (9'), Cordoba (39'), Nubel (75' og.)
Cordoba (38')

Schopf (66'), Burgstaller (80')
Oct 5, 2019 5.30pm
Schalke
1-1
FC Koln
Serdar (72')
Kenny (20'), Serdar (35'), Sane (45'), Oczipka (64')
Hector (91')
Katterbach (22'), Ehizibue (40'), Terodde (67'), Modeste (93')
Oct 31, 2018 5.30pm
FC Koln
1-1
Schalke
Schalke win 6-5 on penalties
Cordoba (43')
Ozcan (61'), Schaub (83')
Bentaleb (88' pen.)
Schopf (51'), Uth (63'), Bentaleb (83'), Burgstaller (100'), Nastasic (110')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern22174165194655
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen22138149272247
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt21116446281839
4RB Leipzig2210753629737
5Freiburg2211382936-736
6Stuttgart2210574033735
7Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach2210483532334
8Wolfsburg229674536933
9Mainz 05Mainz219573324932
10Werder Bremen218673439-530
11Borussia DortmundDortmund228593738-129
12Augsburg227782435-1128
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin2266102129-824
14St Pauli2263131825-721
15Hoffenheim2146112644-1818
16Heidenheim2142152543-1814
17VfL BochumVfL Bochum2235142146-2514
18Holstein Kiel2134143354-2113


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