MX23RW : Wednesday, January 29 21:46:13| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 19
Jan 27, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Weserstadion
Freiburg logo

Werder Bremen
3 - 1
Freiburg

Ducksch (9' pen.), Njinmah (53'), Malatini (90+3')
Stark (50'), Lynen (89')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Grifo (28' pen.)
Streich (89'), Gregoritsch (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Werder Bremen and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bayern 0-1 Werder Bremen
Sunday, January 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 3-2 Hoffenheim
Saturday, January 20 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Werder Bremen 1-1 Freiburg

Werder Bremen will be brimming with confidence ahead of this match following a historic victory over Bayern Munich last week and having avoided defeat in their last five league games. However, despite their uptick in form, they now face a side that they have not beaten in their last five attempts and are in the midst of the race for a place in Europe next season. This looks like a very level match on paper, and we feel there will be nothing to split these two at the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 41.64%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 34.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.98%) and 0-2 (6.3%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 2-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result
Werder BremenDrawFreiburg
34.08% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03) 24.27% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 41.64% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 59.92% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.34% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)42.66% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.93% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)65.06% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.5% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)24.49% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.04% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)58.95% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.36% (0.018000000000001 0.02)20.63% (-0.017999999999997 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.8% (0.027999999999999 0.03)53.2% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Werder Bremen 34.08%
    Freiburg 41.64%
    Draw 24.27%
Werder BremenDrawFreiburg
2-1 @ 7.89% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-0 @ 7.11% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.92% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.35% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-1 @ 1.3% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 34.08%
1-1 @ 11.22%
2-2 @ 6.23%
0-0 @ 5.05% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.54%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.27%
1-2 @ 8.86% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 7.98% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 6.3% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 4.66% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-3 @ 3.31% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 3.28% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.31% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1.29% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 41.64%

How you voted: Werder Bremen vs Freiburg

Werder Bremen
41.4%
Draw
27.6%
Freiburg
31.0%
29
Head to Head
Aug 26, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 2
Freiburg
1-0
Werder Bremen
Philipp (90+6')
Kubler (38'), Hofler (45')

Schmid (6'), Friedl (55')
Apr 16, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 28
Werder Bremen
1-2
Freiburg
Philipp (46')
Sallai (66'), Holer (71')
Oct 22, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 11
Freiburg
2-0
Werder Bremen
Kubler (56'), Grifo (80' pen.)
Feb 13, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 21
Werder Bremen
0-0
Freiburg
Hofler (83'), Heintz (90+1')
Oct 17, 2020 2.30pm
Gameweek 4
Freiburg
1-1
Werder Bremen
Lienhart (16')
Hofler (27'), Santamaria (89'), Schmid (90+2')
Fullkrug (25' pen.)
Augustinsson (44'), Mbom (51'), Sargent (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern19153158164248
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen19126146262042
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt19114444261837
4Stuttgart199553628832
5RB Leipzig199553429532
6Mainz 05Mainz1994633231031
7Wolfsburg198474234828
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach198383029127
9Werder Bremen197663336-327
10Freiburg198382636-1027
11Borussia DortmundDortmund197573433126
12Augsburg197482334-1125
13St Pauli1962111721-420
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin195591627-1120
15Hoffenheim194692537-1218
16Heidenheim1942132440-1614
17Holstein Kiel1933132848-2012
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1924131743-2610


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