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Bundesliga | Gameweek 17
Jan 13, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Schwarzwald-Stadion
Union Berlin logo

Freiburg
0 - 0
Union Berlin

FT

Aaronson (50'), Ronnow (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Freiburg

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Heidenheim 3-2 Freiburg
Wednesday, December 20 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Union Berlin

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Union Berlin 2-0 FC Koln
Wednesday, December 20 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Freiburg 2-1 Union Berlin

 Union Berlin may have ended the calendar year as they mean to go on, but Bjelica is yet to find the solution to his side's defensive and offensive woes on the road, which will likely cost them dear on Saturday. Even with international and suspension absentees to contend with, Freiburg are seldom outfought in front of their own fans and should make a winning start to 2024, although it may not be a totally comfortable ride. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 63.45%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 16.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.54%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.7%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 0-1 (4.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
FreiburgDrawUnion Berlin
63.45% (0.351 0.35) 20.49% (-0.111 -0.11) 16.06% (-0.244 -0.24)
Both teams to score 52.35% (-0.18000000000001 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.89% (0.031999999999996 0.03)43.11% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.49% (0.032999999999994 0.03)65.51% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.07% (0.111 0.11)12.93% (-0.116 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.62% (0.23099999999999 0.23)39.38% (-0.234 -0.23)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.12% (-0.29 -0.29)39.88% (0.285 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.46% (-0.265 -0.27)76.54% (0.26000000000001 0.26)
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 63.44%
    Union Berlin 16.06%
    Draw 20.49%
FreiburgDrawUnion Berlin
2-0 @ 10.78% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
1-0 @ 10.54% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.92% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.36% (0.082 0.08)
3-1 @ 6.76% (0.023 0.02)
4-0 @ 3.76% (0.058 0.06)
4-1 @ 3.46% (0.027 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.11% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.59%
5-0 @ 1.54% (0.03 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.42% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 63.44%
1-1 @ 9.7% (-0.049000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 5.16% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.56% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-3 @ 0.95% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 20.49%
0-1 @ 4.74% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-2 @ 4.46% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-2 @ 2.18% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.4% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.37% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 16.06%

How you voted: Freiburg vs Union Berlin

Freiburg
81.3%
Draw
12.5%
Union Berlin
6.3%
32
Head to Head
May 13, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 32
Union Berlin
4-2
Freiburg
Behrens (5'), Becker (36', 38'), Laidouni (80')
Khedira (15'), Behrens (33'), Becker (36')
Gulde (56'), Grifo (70' pen.)
Gregoritsch (90+5')
> Preview
Nov 13, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 15
Freiburg
4-1
Union Berlin
Grifo (4' pen., 6', 20' pen.), Gregoritsch (45+1')
Michel (84' pen.)
> Preview
May 7, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 33
Freiburg
1-4
Union Berlin
Holer (59')
Sallai (67')
Promel (11'), Trimmel (30'), Becker (41'), Schafer (90')
Oczipka (50'), Luthe (69')
> Preview
Dec 15, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 16
Union Berlin
0-0
Freiburg
Becker (77')
Hofler (35')
> Preview
Feb 20, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 22
Freiburg
0-1
Union Berlin

Grifo (37'), Holer (50')
Promel (64')
Lenz (39'), Giesselmann (85')
> Preview
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen31256077225581
2Bayern MunichBayern31223689385169
3Stuttgart31204770383264
4RB Leipzig31195773353862
5Borussia DortmundDortmund31169659392057
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt31111284742545
7Freiburg31117134355-1240
8Augsburg31109124852-439
9Hoffenheim31116145563-839
10Heidenheim31910124452-837
11Werder Bremen31107144150-937
12Wolfsburg3197153751-1434
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach31711135360-732
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin3186172650-2430
15VfL BochumVfL Bochum31612133762-2530
16Mainz 05Mainz31513133249-1728
17FC Koln31411162454-3023
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3138203073-4317
> Bundesliga Full Table


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