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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 63.45%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 16.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.54%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.7%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 0-1 (4.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Freiburg | Draw | Union Berlin |
63.45% ( 0.35) | 20.49% ( -0.11) | 16.06% ( -0.24) |
Both teams to score 52.35% ( -0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.89% ( 0.03) | 43.11% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.49% ( 0.03) | 65.51% ( -0.04) |
Freiburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.07% ( 0.11) | 12.93% ( -0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.62% ( 0.23) | 39.38% ( -0.23) |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.12% ( -0.29) | 39.88% ( 0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.46% ( -0.27) | 76.54% ( 0.26) |
Score Analysis |
Freiburg | Draw | Union Berlin |
2-0 @ 10.78% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 10.54% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.36% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 6.76% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 3.76% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 3.46% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.59% 5-0 @ 1.54% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.42% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.21% Total : 63.44% | 1-1 @ 9.7% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.16% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 20.49% | 0-1 @ 4.74% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 4.46% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.92% Total : 16.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 18 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 56 | 15 | 41 | 45 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 44 | 24 | 20 | 41 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 36 |
4 | Stuttgart | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 36 | 26 | 10 | 32 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 31 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 28 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 40 | 32 | 8 | 27 |
8 | Freiburg | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 27 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 26 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 25 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 24 |
12 | Augsburg | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 22 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 20 |
14 | St Pauli | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 17 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 17 |
16 | Heidenheim | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 14 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 18 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 26 | 46 | -20 | 11 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 10 |
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