Bundesliga | Gameweek 32
May 4, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
VOLKSWAGEN ARENA
We said: Wolfsburg 2-0 SV Darmstadt 98
Despite Darmstadt finding the net in six of their last 10 road games, Wolfsburg's motivation to secure their top-flight status should see the home support celebrate a win. The Wolves have won three of their five Bundesliga matches under Hasenhuttl, and that should become four in six for a club that have never lost to the Lilies on their turf (two wins, one draw).
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 54.19% . A win for SV Darmstadt 98 had a probability of 23.55% and a draw had a probability of 22.3% .
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.61%) and 2-0 (8.22%) . The likeliest SV Darmstadt 98 win was 1-2 (6.09%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.23%) . The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wolfsburg would win this match.
Result Wolfsburg Draw SV Darmstadt 98 54.19% ( -1.39) 22.26% ( 0.13) 23.55% ( 1.26)
Both teams to score 59.27% ( 1.22)
59.88% ( 0.85) 40.12% ( -0.84)
37.52% ( 0.87) 62.49% ( -0.87)
85.2% ( -0.16) 14.8% ( 0.16)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 56.92% ( -0.31) 43.08% ( 0.31)
69.56% ( 1.56) 30.44% ( -1.55)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 33.35% ( 1.81) 66.65% ( -1.8)
Wolfsburg 54.19%
SV Darmstadt 98 23.55%
Draw 22.25%
Wolfsburg Draw SV Darmstadt 98 2-1 @ 9.78% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 8.61% ( -0.39) 2-0 @ 8.22% ( -0.42) 3-1 @ 6.23% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 5.24% ( -0.3) 3-2 @ 3.7% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 2.98% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 2.5% ( -0.16) 4-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.08% Total : 54.19% 1-1 @ 10.23% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.82% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 4.51% ( -0.18) 3-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.25% 1-2 @ 6.09% ( 0.24) 0-1 @ 5.36% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.19% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.19) 2-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.17) 0-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.94% Total : 23.55%
How you voted: Wolfsburg vs Darmstadt
Wolfsburg
Draw
SV Darmstadt 98
31
rhs 2.0
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