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Bundesliga | Gameweek 28
Apr 6, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Mewa Arena
SV Darmstadt

Mainz
4 - 0
Darmstadt

Hanche-Olsen (32'), Gruda (60'), Jae-sung (80', 84')
Kohr (51'), Gruda (74'), Gruda (75')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Lieberknecht (35'), Isherwood (39'), Skarke (52'), Brunst (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and SV Darmstadt 98, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mainz 05

All competitions
Last Game: RB Leipzig 0-0 Mainz
Saturday, March 30 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

SV Darmstadt 98

All competitions
Last Game: VfL Bochum 2-2 Darmstadt
Sunday, March 31 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Mainz 05 2-1 SV Darmstadt 98

 Just like the reverse fixture, a closely-contested encounter could be in store this weekend between two teams desperate to claim all three points, aware that a draw will not benefit them too much in their quest to avoid the drop. Taking into account the hosts' slight upturn in form under Henriksen as well as the miserable winless run of the visitors, we can see Mainz coming out on top to put Darmstadt on the brink of relegation. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 58.66%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for SV Darmstadt 98 had a probability of 18.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.35%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.62%), while for a SV Darmstadt 98 win it was 0-1 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mainz 05 would win this match.

Result
Mainz 05DrawSV Darmstadt 98
58.66% (0.070999999999998 0.07) 22.37% (0.0040000000000013 0) 18.98% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Both teams to score 52.02% (-0.143 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.53% (-0.124 -0.12)46.47% (0.127 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.25% (-0.116 -0.12)68.75% (0.12 0.12)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.49% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)15.51% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.58% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)44.41% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
SV Darmstadt 98 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.57% (-0.153 -0.15)38.43% (0.156 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.82% (-0.146 -0.15)75.18% (0.149 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Mainz 05 58.65%
    SV Darmstadt 98 18.98%
    Draw 22.36%
Mainz 05DrawSV Darmstadt 98
1-0 @ 11.1% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 10.35% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 6.43% (0.021 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.15% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.94% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.87% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.37% (-0.0079999999999998 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.12% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1.07% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 58.65%
1-1 @ 10.62% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.96% (0.032 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.73% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 22.36%
0-1 @ 5.7% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.08% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.73% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.62% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.51% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 18.98%

How you voted: Mainz vs Darmstadt

Mainz 05
75.0%
Draw
20.8%
SV Darmstadt 98
4.2%
24
Head to Head
Nov 11, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 11
Darmstadt
0-0
Mainz
Klarer (69'), Hornby (73'), Franjic (90+1')
van den Berg (35'), Zentner (57'), Kohr (58')
> Preview
Mar 11, 2017 2.30pm
Darmstadt
2-1
Mainz
Sulu (5'), Sam (13' pen.)
Vrancic (53'), Gondorf (77'), Platte (91'), Niemeyer (91')
Vrancic (59')
Quaison (45')
Ramalho (18'), Bell (45'), Cordoba (66')
Bell (90')
Oct 16, 2016 2.30pm
Mainz
2-1
Darmstadt
De Blasis (5'), Malli (56' pen.)
Brosinski (38'), Bell (61'), Cordoba (93')
Schipplock (92')
Milosevic (23')
Mar 6, 2016 2.30pm
Mainz
0-0
Darmstadt
Donati (57')
Jungwirth (42'), Gondorf (45'), Rajkovic (63'), Niemeyer (84'), Vrancic (86')
Oct 2, 2015 7.30pm
Darmstadt
2-3
Mainz
Heller (27'), Sailer (57')
Caldirola (52')
Bell (15'), Malli (24'), De Blasis (64')
Latza (21'), Karius (70')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern15113147133436
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1595137211632
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1583435231227
4RB Leipzig158342420427
5Mainz 05Mainz157442820825
6Borussia DortmundDortmund157442822625
7Werder Bremen157442625125
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach157352520524
9Freiburg157352124-324
10Stuttgart156542925423
11Wolfsburg156363228421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin154561419-517
13Augsburg154471732-1516
14St Pauli154291219-714
15Hoffenheim153572028-814
16Heidenheim1531111833-1510
17Holstein Kiel1522111938-198
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1513111335-226
> Bundesliga Full Table


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