CAF Champions League | First Preliminary Round | 1st Leg
Aug 18, 2024 at 2pm UK
Juba Stadium
Al Merreikh Juba1 - 0Gor Mahia
Abdalla Hussein Elfaki (64')
Akinbinu (51'), Jinaro (72'), Omar Abdalla Makki (90')
Akinbinu (51'), Jinaro (72'), Omar Abdalla Makki (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Owino Chino (7'), Owino Onyango (38'), Owino Omondi (49')
Coverage of the CAF Champions League First Preliminary Round clash between Al Merreikh Juba and Gor Mahia.
Form, Standings, Stats
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gor Mahia win with a probability of 67.95%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Al Merreikh Juba had a probability of 12.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gor Mahia win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.3%) and 1-2 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.4%), while for an Al Merreikh Juba win it was 1-0 (4.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Al Merreikh Juba | Draw | Gor Mahia |
12.12% ( -0.18) | 19.93% ( -0.44) | 67.95% ( 0.63) |
Both teams to score 43.85% ( 0.76) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.98% ( 1.36) | 49.02% ( -1.36) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.9% ( 1.22) | 71.1% ( -1.22) |
Al Merreikh Juba Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
50.65% ( 0.53) | 49.35% ( -0.53) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.8% ( 0.37) | 84.2% ( -0.37) |
Gor Mahia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.57% ( 0.61) | 13.43% ( -0.61) |