Gor Mahia

5 - 1

Al Merreikh Juba

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gor Mahia win with a probability of 72.72%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Al Merreikh Juba had a probability of 9.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gor Mahia win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.41%) and 3-0 (10.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.39%), while for an Al Merreikh Juba win it was 0-1 (4.01%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gor Mahia would win this match.