Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Esperance Tunis win with a probability of 76.35%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Djoliba had a probability of 6.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Esperance Tunis win was 2-0 with a probability of 18.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (17.69%) and 3-0 (12.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (8.67%), while for a Djoliba win it was 0-1 (3.5%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Esperance Tunis would win this match.