MX23RW : Thursday, January 30 08:39:23| >> :120:4792:4792:
Champions League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 26, 2023 at 6pm UK
Tsirion Athlitiko Kentro

Aris Limassol
6 - 2
BATE

Gomis (17' pen., 60'), Bengtsson (32'), Bane (39' og.), Sean Montnor (83'), Stepinski (90+1' pen.)
FT(HT: 3-0)
Kontsevoy (48'), Khadarkevich (65')
Grechiho (72'), Gromyko (87'), Islamovic (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Aris Limassol and BATE Borisov, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Panathinaikos 1-1 Aris
Sunday, May 14 at 6pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: BATE 2-0 Partizani Tirana
Tuesday, July 18 at 7pm in Champions League

We said: Aris Limassol 2-1 BATE Borisov

Something of an unknown quantity at continental level, Aris have invested wisely over the past few years and could be poised to make progress in Europe. While BATE have the advantage of being deep into their domestic season, the hosts' small but passionate support - and a smattering of quality players - should prove enough to secure a handy first-leg lead. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 37.31%. A win for Aris Limassol had a probability of 35.53% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.1%) and 0-2 (6.64%). The likeliest Aris Limassol win was 1-0 (10.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Aris Limassol would win this match.

Result
Aris LimassolDrawBATE Borisov
35.53% (0.102 0.1) 27.15% (0.044999999999998 0.04) 37.31% (-0.147 -0.15)
Both teams to score 50.4% (-0.14 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45% (-0.177 -0.18)55% (0.17599999999999 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.72% (-0.148 -0.15)76.27% (0.146 0.15)
Aris Limassol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.45% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)29.54% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.43% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)65.56% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
BATE Borisov Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.53% (-0.17399999999999 -0.17)28.46% (0.172 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.77% (-0.217 -0.22)64.22% (0.21600000000001 0.22)
Score Analysis
    Aris Limassol 35.53%
    BATE Borisov 37.31%
    Draw 27.15%
Aris LimassolDrawBATE Borisov
1-0 @ 10.25% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 7.86% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.25% (0.035 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.19% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.54% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.01% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.97% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 35.53%
1-1 @ 12.88% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.41% (0.057 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.94% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 27.15%
0-1 @ 10.56% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.1% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
0-2 @ 6.64% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.39% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.78% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.07% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.07% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 37.31%

How you voted: Aris vs BATE

Aris Thessaloniki
63.0%
Draw
16.7%
BATE Borisov
20.4%
54
rhs 2.0
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