MX23RW : Tuesday, January 21 10:36:08| >> :120:8681:8681:
Champions League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 26, 2023 at 6pm UK
Tsirion Athlitiko Kentro

Aris Limassol
6 - 2
BATE

Gomis (17' pen., 60'), Bengtsson (32'), Bane (39' og.), Sean Montnor (83'), Stepinski (90+1' pen.)
FT(HT: 3-0)
Kontsevoy (48'), Khadarkevich (65')
Grechiho (72'), Gromyko (87'), Islamovic (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Aris Limassol and BATE Borisov, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Panathinaikos 1-1 Aris
Sunday, May 14 at 6pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: BATE 2-0 Partizani Tirana
Tuesday, July 18 at 7pm in Champions League

We said: Aris Limassol 2-1 BATE Borisov

Something of an unknown quantity at continental level, Aris have invested wisely over the past few years and could be poised to make progress in Europe. While BATE have the advantage of being deep into their domestic season, the hosts' small but passionate support - and a smattering of quality players - should prove enough to secure a handy first-leg lead. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 37.31%. A win for Aris Limassol had a probability of 35.53% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.1%) and 0-2 (6.64%). The likeliest Aris Limassol win was 1-0 (10.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Aris Limassol would win this match.

Result
Aris LimassolDrawBATE Borisov
35.53% (0.102 0.1) 27.15% (0.044999999999998 0.04) 37.31% (-0.147 -0.15)
Both teams to score 50.4% (-0.14 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45% (-0.177 -0.18)55% (0.17599999999999 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.72% (-0.148 -0.15)76.27% (0.146 0.15)
Aris Limassol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.45% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)29.54% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.43% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)65.56% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
BATE Borisov Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.53% (-0.17399999999999 -0.17)28.46% (0.172 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.77% (-0.217 -0.22)64.22% (0.21600000000001 0.22)
Score Analysis
    Aris Limassol 35.53%
    BATE Borisov 37.31%
    Draw 27.15%
Aris LimassolDrawBATE Borisov
1-0 @ 10.25% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 7.86% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.25% (0.035 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.19% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.54% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.01% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.97% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 35.53%
1-1 @ 12.88% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.41% (0.057 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.94% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 27.15%
0-1 @ 10.56% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.1% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
0-2 @ 6.64% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.39% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.78% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.07% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.07% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 37.31%

How you voted: Aris vs BATE

Aris Thessaloniki
63.0%
Draw
16.7%
BATE Borisov
20.4%
54
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool21155150203050
2Arsenal22128243212244
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest22135433221144
4Chelsea22117444271740
5Manchester CityMan City22115644291538
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle22115638261238
7Bournemouth22107536261037
8Aston Villa2210663334-136
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2281043530534
10Fulham228953430433
11Brentford2284104039128
12Crystal Palace226972528-327
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd2275102732-526
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2275102743-1626
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs22731245351024
16Everton214891828-1020
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2244143251-1916
18Ipswich TownIpswich2237122043-2316
19Leicester CityLeicester2235142348-2514
20Southampton2213181550-356


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!