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Champions League
Champions League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 27, 2022 at 5pm UK
Aspmyra Stadion

Bodo/Glimt
8 - 0
Linfield

Vetlesen (7'), Okoh Boniface (21' pen.), Pellegrino (25', 54' pen.), Saltnes (29'), Espejord (52', 88'), Sampsted (73')
FT(HT: 4-0)

Mulgrew (55'), McClean (65')
Millar (21')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Bodo/Glimt and Linfield, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bodo/Glimt

Last Six:
Last Game: Bodo/Glimt 5-0 Jerv
Saturday, July 23 at 3pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Linfield

Last Six:
    Last Game: Linfield 1-0 Bodo/Glimt
    Tuesday, July 19 at 7.45pm in Champions League

    We said: Bodo/Glimt 3-0 Linfield (Bodo/Glimt win 3-1 on aggregate)

     We made the mistake of underestimating Linfield in the first leg, but Bodo/Glimt performed with a vengeance in league action at the weekend and will be fired up to complete an expected turnaround this week. Healy's side have done Northern Ireland proud in Europe so far, but with Bodo/Glimt excelling at home with plenty of goals in tow, the Linfield journey will surely end here. Read more.

    Data Analysis

    Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bodo/Glimt win with a probability of 61.44%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Linfield had a probability of 14.8%.

    The most likely scoreline for a Bodo/Glimt win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.31%) and 2-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Linfield win it was 0-1 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 8-0 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bodo/Glimt would win this match.

    Result
    Bodo/GlimtDrawLinfield
    61.44% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 23.76% (-0.080000000000002 -0.08) 14.8% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
    Both teams to score 40.12% (0.294 0.29)
    Goals
    Over 2.5Under 2.5
    41.92% (0.339 0.34)58.08% (-0.343 -0.34)
    Over 3.5Under 3.5
    21.24% (0.264 0.26)78.75% (-0.268 -0.27)
    Bodo/Glimt Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    81.32% (0.137 0.14)18.68% (-0.14 -0.14)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    49.97% (0.231 0.23)50.02% (-0.23399999999999 -0.23)
    Linfield Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    49.34% (0.277 0.28)50.66% (-0.28100000000001 -0.28)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    14.89% (0.188 0.19)85.11% (-0.191 -0.19)
    Score Analysis
        Bodo/Glimt 61.42%
        Linfield 14.8%
        Draw 23.75%
    Bodo/GlimtDrawLinfield
    1-0 @ 15.87% (-0.14 -0.14)
    2-0 @ 13.31% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
    2-1 @ 9.06% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
    3-0 @ 7.45% (0.0030000000000001 0)
    3-1 @ 5.06% (0.043 0.04)
    4-0 @ 3.12% (0.015 0.02)
    4-1 @ 2.12% (0.027 0.03)
    3-2 @ 1.72% (0.028 0.03)
    5-0 @ 1.05% (0.01 0.01)
    Other @ 2.66%
    Total : 61.42%
    		1-1 @ 10.79% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
    0-0 @ 9.46% (-0.124 -0.12)
    2-2 @ 3.08% (0.038 0.04)
    Other @ 0.42%
    Total : 23.75%
    		0-1 @ 6.44% (-0.032 -0.03)
    1-2 @ 3.67% (0.029 0.03)
    0-2 @ 2.19% (0.008 0.01)
    Other @ 2.5%
    Total : 14.8%

    How you voted: Bodo/Glimt vs Linfield

    Bodo/Glimt
    72.6%
    Draw
    12.9%
    Linfield
    14.5%
    62
    Head to Head
    Jul 19, 2022 7.45pm
    Linfield
    1-0
    Bodo/Glimt
    Millar (83')
    Hall (22')

    Hoibraten (16'), Wembangomo (72'), Kristoffer Hagen (78')
    rhs 2.0
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