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Champions League
Ludogorets
Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 19, 2023 at 7pm UK
Huvepharma Arena (Razgrad)
Ballkani

Ludogorets
4 - 0
KF Ballkani

Tekpetey (4', 45'), Tissera (49'), Vidal (78')
Heister (51'), Russo (58'), Goncalves (69'), Vidal (79')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Kryeziu (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Ludogorets Razgrad and KF Ballkani, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ludogorets Razgrad

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Last Game: KF Ballkani 2-0 Ludogorets
Tuesday, July 11 at 7.45pm in Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

KF Ballkani

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: KF Ballkani 2-0 Ludogorets
Tuesday, July 11 at 7.45pm in Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

We said: Ludogorets Razgrad 2-2 KF Ballkani (KF Ballkani to win 4-2 on aggregate)

 Buoyed by last week's triumph on home soil, Ballkani will be determined to complete the job on Wednesday, while Ludogorets have no choice but to go for broke. We expect the second leg to be a chaotic affair as Ludogorets aim to overcome the two-goal deficit, but the hosts' approach will likely leave them exposed at the back. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ludogorets Razgrad win with a probability of 60.4%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for KF Ballkani had a probability of 17.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ludogorets Razgrad win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.61%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.34%), while for a KF Ballkani win it was 0-1 (5.39%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ludogorets Razgrad would win this match.

Result
Ludogorets RazgradDrawKF Ballkani
60.4% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05) 21.78% (0.023 0.02) 17.81% (0.026 0.03)
Both teams to score 51.78% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.28% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)45.72% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.96% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06)68.04% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Ludogorets Razgrad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.31% (-0.039999999999992 -0.04)14.69% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.13% (-0.073 -0.07)42.86% (0.07 0.07)
KF Ballkani Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.7% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)39.3% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.99% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)76% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    Ludogorets Razgrad 60.39%
    KF Ballkani 17.82%
    Draw 21.78%
Ludogorets RazgradDrawKF Ballkani
1-0 @ 11.07% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 10.61%
2-1 @ 9.92% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
3-0 @ 6.79% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.34% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.26% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.04% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.96% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.42% (-0.004 -0)
5-0 @ 1.25% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 1.17% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 60.39%
1-1 @ 10.34% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.77% (0.015 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.63% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 21.78%
0-1 @ 5.39% (0.014 0.01)
1-2 @ 4.83% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 2.52% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.5% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 17.82%

How you voted: Ludogorets vs KF Ballkani

Ludogorets Razgrad
57.8%
Draw
26.7%
KF Ballkani
15.6%
45
Head to Head
Jul 11, 2023 7.45pm
First Qualifying Round 1st Leg
KF Ballkani
2-0
Ludogorets
Korenica (45+1'), Zyba (55')
Trashi (43'), Thaci (90+4')

Plastun (18')
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