We said: KF Ballkani 1-2 Ludogorets Razgrad
In recent years, Ballkani have punched above their weight, but Ludogorets will provide a particularly stern test due to their depth of European experience. As pre-season appears to have gone well, the Bulgarian champions can therefore return home with a lead before next week's return in Razgrad.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ludogorets Razgrad win with a probability of 49.96%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for KF Ballkani had a probability of 23.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ludogorets Razgrad win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.83%) and 1-2 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.36%), while for a KF Ballkani win it was 1-0 (8.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.