MX23RW : Tuesday, January 28 22:13:16| >> :120:4881:4881:
Molde logo
Champions League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 2, 2023 at 6pm UK
Aker Stadion
HJK logo

Molde
2 - 0
HJK Helsinki

Ost (74' og.), Brynhildsen (89')
Hagelskjaer (64')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Tanaka (26')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Molde and HJK Helsinki, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stabaek 0-1 Molde
Saturday, July 29 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: SJK 1-2 HJK Helsinki
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

We said: Molde 2-0 HJK Helsinki

Despite a fantastic win on home soil last week, HJK may find it tough to hold on to their lead in Norway. Molde enter the fixture still the favourites to progress despite the one-goal deficit, and a substantial improvement on last week's performance should see them qualify. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 64.39%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for HJK Helsinki had a probability of 16.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.74%) and 1-0 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.95%), while for a HJK Helsinki win it was 1-2 (4.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Molde in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Molde.

Result
MoldeDrawHJK Helsinki
64.39% (1.428 1.43) 19.38% (-0.602 -0.6) 16.23% (-0.82 -0.82)
Both teams to score 56.65% (0.325 0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.35% (1.29 1.29)37.65% (-1.284 -1.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.11% (1.369 1.37)59.89% (-1.363 -1.36)
Molde Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.96% (0.76299999999999 0.76)11.04% (-0.757 -0.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.63% (1.649 1.65)35.37% (-1.642 -1.64)
HJK Helsinki Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.68% (-0.179 -0.18)36.32% (0.184 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.9% (-0.184 -0.18)73.1% (0.191 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Molde 64.39%
    HJK Helsinki 16.23%
    Draw 19.38%
MoldeDrawHJK Helsinki
2-1 @ 9.86% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-0 @ 9.74% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-0 @ 8.84% (-0.275 -0.28)
3-1 @ 7.24% (0.182 0.18)
3-0 @ 7.15% (0.214 0.21)
4-1 @ 3.99% (0.217 0.22)
4-0 @ 3.94% (0.232 0.23)
3-2 @ 3.67% (0.074 0.07)
4-2 @ 2.02% (0.1 0.1)
5-1 @ 1.76% (0.146 0.15)
5-0 @ 1.74% (0.152 0.15)
Other @ 4.46%
Total : 64.39%
1-1 @ 8.95% (-0.325 -0.33)
2-2 @ 4.99% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-0 @ 4.01% (-0.253 -0.25)
3-3 @ 1.24% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 19.38%
1-2 @ 4.53% (-0.188 -0.19)
0-1 @ 4.06% (-0.278 -0.28)
0-2 @ 2.06% (-0.152 -0.15)
2-3 @ 1.69% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.53% (-0.072 -0.07)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 16.23%

How you voted: Molde vs HJK Helsinki

Molde
71.4%
Draw
7.1%
HJK Helsinki
21.4%
28
Head to Head
Jul 25, 2023 5pm
Second Qualifying Round 1st Leg
HJK Helsinki
1-0
Molde
Keskinen (25')

Brynhildsen (50'), Haugen (67')
rhs 2.0
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