MX23RW : Wednesday, January 29 23:16:39| >> :60:1004:1004:
Champions League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 30, 2024 at 6pm UK
Epet Arena
Shamrock Rovers

Sparta Prague
4 - 2
Shamrock

Olatunji (29'), Ross (41'), Sorensen (48'), Tuci (71')
Sadilek (2'), Laci (18'), Danek (62')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Greene (32', 47')
Cleary (26'), Nugent (38')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Sparta Prague and Shamrock Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Shamrock 0-2 Sparta Prague
Tuesday, July 23 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Sparta Prague 2-1 Shamrock Rovers (Sparta win 4-1 on aggregate)

Although Bradley's side will no doubt make the match uncomfortable for Sparta Prague, it is difficult to see how they can recover from their deficit without more of the ball. Additionally, with Shamrock Rovers likely pushing forward in the latter stage of the match, it would not be a surprise to see them concede chances from counter-attacks. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Prague win with a probability of 47.82%. A win for Shamrock Rovers had a probability of 27.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Prague win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest Shamrock Rovers win was 0-1 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sparta Prague would win this match.

Result
Sparta PragueDrawShamrock Rovers
47.82% (0.0019999999999953 0) 25.13% (0.0020000000000024 0) 27.05% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 53.25% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.29% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)49.71% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.28% (-0.02 -0.02)71.72% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Sparta Prague Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.19% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)20.81% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.52% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)53.48% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Shamrock Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.25% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)32.75% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.69% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)69.31% (0.01700000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Sparta Prague 47.81%
    Shamrock Rovers 27.05%
    Draw 25.12%
Sparta PragueDrawShamrock Rovers
1-0 @ 10.69%
2-1 @ 9.37%
2-0 @ 8.4% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 4.9% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 4.39%
3-2 @ 2.74% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.93%
4-0 @ 1.72%
4-2 @ 1.07% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 47.81%
1-1 @ 11.94%
0-0 @ 6.82% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.12%
0-1 @ 7.61% (0.0029999999999992 0)
1-2 @ 6.67% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 4.25% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 2.48% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.95% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.58% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 27.05%

How you voted: Sparta Prague vs Shamrock

Sparta Prague
78.9%
Draw
13.2%
Shamrock Rovers
7.9%
38
Head to Head
Jul 23, 2024 8pm
Second Qualifying Round 1st Leg
Shamrock
0-2
Sparta Prague

Burns (79')
Birmancevic (38'), Wiesner (65')
Solbakken (58')
rhs 2.0
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