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Champions League
Champions League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 25, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadion Bijeli Brijeg
Slovan Bratislava

Zrinjski Mostar
0 - 1
Slovan Bratislava


Canadija (45+1'), Jakovljevic (52'), Kozulj (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Sharani (53')
Barseghyan (39'), Lovat (79'), Borjan (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Zrinjski Mostar and Slovan Bratislava, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Zrinjski Mostar

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Last Game: Zrinjski Mostar 2-3 Urartu (4-3 pen.)
Tuesday, July 18 at 7pm in Champions League
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Slovan Bratislava

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Swift Hesperange 0-2 Slovan Bratislava
Wednesday, July 19 at 7pm in Champions League

We said: Zrinjski Mostar 1-2 Slovan Bratislava

 These sides will remember each other well after meeting at the final hurdle of qualifying for the Europa Conference League last season, with Slovan Bratislava ultimately prevailing from that tie on penalties. There is little doubt that the Slovakian champions possess both greater European pedigree and individual quality, and we can envisage them gaining an impressive victory in Mostar on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zrinjski Mostar win with a probability of 49%. A win for Slovan Bratislava had a probability of 26.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zrinjski Mostar win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Slovan Bratislava win was 0-1 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Slovan Bratislava would win this match.

Result
Zrinjski MostarDrawSlovan Bratislava
49% (0.1 0.1) 24.08% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 26.91% (-0.09 -0.09)
Both teams to score 56.53% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.67% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)45.33% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.33% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)67.67% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Zrinjski Mostar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.41% (0.034999999999997 0.03)18.58% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.14% (0.061999999999998 0.06)49.86% (-0.065000000000005 -0.07)
Slovan Bratislava Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.44% (-0.073000000000008 -0.07)30.56% (0.068999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.21% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)66.78% (0.081999999999994 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Zrinjski Mostar 49%
    Slovan Bratislava 26.91%
    Draw 24.08%
Zrinjski MostarDrawSlovan Bratislava
1-0 @ 9.56% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.53% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.04% (0.022 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.35% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.51% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.17%
4-1 @ 2.25% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.9% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.33% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 49%
1-1 @ 11.33%
0-0 @ 5.68% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 5.65% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.25% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.08%
0-1 @ 6.73% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.72% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.99% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.65% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.23% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.58% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 26.91%

How you voted: Zrinjski Mostar vs Slovan Bratislava

Zrinjski Mostar
20.0%
Draw
31.1%
Slovan Bratislava
48.9%
45
Head to Head
Aug 25, 2022 7.30pm
Playoffs 2nd Leg
Slovan Bratislava
2-1
Zrinjski Mostar
 Slovan Bratislava win 6-5 on penalties
Ramirez (67', 120+2')
Kashia (65'), Kankava (82'), Kucka (85'), Chakvetadze (90+4'), Abena (112')
Kankava (118')
Savic (103')
Jankovic (45+4'), Bilbija (82'), Mandic (87')
Aug 18, 2022 7pm
Playoffs 1st Leg
Zrinjski Mostar
1-0
Slovan Bratislava
Bilbija (89')

Barseghyan (51'), Agbo (53'), Krizan (85'), Zmrhal (90+2')
Barseghyan (69')
rhs 2.0
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