Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 18, 2023 at 7pm UK
Stadion Bijeli Brijeg
Zrinjski Mostar2 - 3Urartu
FT
(aet)
(aet)
Grigoryan (74', 90+1' pen.), Maksimenko (105+3')
Maric (55'), Margaryan (70'), Junior (90+4'), Mirzoyan (120')
Maric (55'), Margaryan (70'), Junior (90+4'), Mirzoyan (120')
Zrinjski Mostar win 4-3 on penalties
Form, Standings, Stats
We say: Zrinjski Mostar 1-0 Urartu
There was very little to split these two sides in Armenia last week prior to Senic's dramatic late winner, which has put the tie firmly in his side's own hands. The visitors will have to show more offensive bravery than they managed in the first leg, but we can envisage the hosts doubling their lead in the tie at some stage, before successfully holding onto it. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zrinjski Mostar win with a probability of 58.4%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Urartu had a probability of 17.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zrinjski Mostar win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.55%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.17%), while for a Urartu win it was 0-1 (6.52%).
Result | ||
Zrinjski Mostar | Draw | Urartu |
58.4% ( 0.02) | 23.69% ( -0.01) | 17.9% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 46.17% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.69% ( 0.02) | 53.31% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.14% ( 0.02) | 74.85% ( -0.01) |
Zrinjski Mostar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.98% ( 0.02) | 18.02% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.1% ( 0.03) | 48.9% ( -0.02) |
Urartu Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.32% ( -0.01) | 43.67% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.15% ( -0) | 79.85% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Zrinjski Mostar 58.39%
Urartu 17.9%
Draw 23.69%
Zrinjski Mostar | Draw | Urartu |
1-0 @ 13.48% 2-0 @ 11.55% 2-1 @ 9.57% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.6% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.47% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.83% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.34% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.27% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.97% 5-0 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 2.34% Total : 58.39% | 1-1 @ 11.17% 0-0 @ 7.87% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.97% Other @ 0.69% Total : 23.69% | 0-1 @ 6.52% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.63% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.7% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.28% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 1.68% Total : 17.9% |
How you voted: Zrinjski Mostar vs Urartu
Zrinjski Mostar
81.5%Draw
11.1%Urartu
7.4%27
Head to Head
Jul 11, 2023 4pm
First Qualifying Round 1st Leg
Urartu
0-1
Zrinjski Mostar
Margaryan (33'), Tsymbalyuk (90+5')
Senic (89')
Bilbija (50'), Barisic (52'), Stanic (66'), Zlomislic (78'), Senic (90')
Bilbija (50'), Barisic (52'), Stanic (66'), Zlomislic (78'), Senic (90')
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
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Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 6 | 15 | 28 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 23 |
3 | Chelsea | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 22 |
4 | Arsenal | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 12 | 9 | 22 |
5 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 22 |
6 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 27 | 13 | 14 | 19 |
7 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 19 |
8 | Aston Villa | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 19 |
9 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 18 |
10 | Fulham | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 18 |
11 | Brentford | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 17 |
12 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 15 |
13 | Bournemouth | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 15 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 12 |
15 | Everton | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 11 |
16 | Leicester CityLeicester | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 10 |
17 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 9 |
18 | Crystal Palace | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 8 |
19 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 8 |
20 | Southampton | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 21 | -14 | 4 |
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