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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 40.41%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (7.55%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Birmingham City | Draw | West Bromwich Albion |
31.93% ( 1.68) | 27.66% ( 0.55) | 40.41% ( -2.22) |
Both teams to score 48.21% ( -0.99) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.54% ( -1.55) | 57.46% ( 1.56) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.74% ( -1.25) | 78.26% ( 1.26) |
Birmingham City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.83% ( 0.4) | 33.17% ( -0.39) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.22% ( 0.43) | 69.78% ( -0.43) |
West Bromwich Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.14% ( -1.92) | 27.86% ( 1.93) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.54% ( -2.52) | 63.47% ( 2.53) |
Score Analysis |
Birmingham City | Draw | West Bromwich Albion |
1-0 @ 10.19% ( 0.69) 2-1 @ 7.19% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 5.63% ( 0.44) 3-1 @ 2.65% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 2.07% ( 0.18) 3-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.51% Total : 31.92% | 1-1 @ 13.03% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 9.24% ( 0.54) 2-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.65% | 0-1 @ 11.81% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 8.33% ( -0.33) 0-2 @ 7.55% ( -0.38) 1-3 @ 3.55% ( -0.35) 0-3 @ 3.22% ( -0.35) 2-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.17) 1-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.18) 0-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.18) Other @ 1.85% Total : 40.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 51 | 19 | 32 | 56 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 55 |
3 | Burnley | 27 | 14 | 11 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 53 |
4 | Sunderland | 27 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 39 | 22 | 17 | 51 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 42 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 27 | 9 | 14 | 4 | 33 | 22 | 11 | 41 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 44 | 34 | 10 | 41 |
8 | Watford | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 41 |
9 | Bristol City | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 37 |
10 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 37 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 36 |
12 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 27 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 35 |
13 | Swansea CitySwansea | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 33 | -3 | 34 |
14 | Coventry CityCoventry | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 37 | -2 | 32 |
15 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 32 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 27 | 6 | 13 | 8 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 31 |
17 | Millwall | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 30 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 28 |
19 | Derby CountyDerby | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 31 | 37 | -6 | 27 |
20 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 27 |
21 | Hull City | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 26 |
22 | Portsmouth | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 26 |
23 | Luton TownLuton | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 27 | 44 | -17 | 26 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 27 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 25 | 55 | -30 | 21 |
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