MX23RW : Tuesday, January 21 04:16:20| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Championship | Gameweek 11
Oct 6, 2023 at 8pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
West Brom logo

Birmingham
3 - 1
West Brom

Bacuna (23' pen.), Sanderson (38'), Gardner (87')
Bielik (25'), Longelo (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Swift (5')
Kipre (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and West Bromwich Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Birmingham 4-1 Huddersfield
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 1-0 Sheff Weds
Tuesday, October 3 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Birmingham City 1-1 West Bromwich Albion

Although Birmingham have been far more inconsistent than West Brom of late, the manner of their victory on Tuesday even things up. With that in mind, we can only predict a competitive draw between two sides who back themselves to challenge for the playoffs in the long term. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 40.41%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (7.55%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawWest Bromwich Albion
31.93% (1.676 1.68) 27.66% (0.554 0.55) 40.41% (-2.223 -2.22)
Both teams to score 48.21% (-0.992 -0.99)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.54% (-1.553 -1.55)57.46% (1.563 1.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.74% (-1.248 -1.25)78.26% (1.255 1.26)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.83% (0.398 0.4)33.17% (-0.39 -0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.22% (0.434 0.43)69.78% (-0.428 -0.43)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.14% (-1.92 -1.92)27.86% (1.928 1.93)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.54% (-2.524 -2.52)63.47% (2.532 2.53)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 31.92%
    West Bromwich Albion 40.41%
    Draw 27.65%
Birmingham CityDrawWest Bromwich Albion
1-0 @ 10.19% (0.687 0.69)
2-1 @ 7.19% (0.189 0.19)
2-0 @ 5.63% (0.439 0.44)
3-1 @ 2.65% (0.098 0.1)
3-0 @ 2.07% (0.181 0.18)
3-2 @ 1.69% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 31.92%
1-1 @ 13.03% (0.21 0.21)
0-0 @ 9.24% (0.537 0.54)
2-2 @ 4.6% (-0.129 -0.13)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.65%
0-1 @ 11.81% (0.07 0.07)
1-2 @ 8.33% (-0.326 -0.33)
0-2 @ 7.55% (-0.38 -0.38)
1-3 @ 3.55% (-0.345 -0.35)
0-3 @ 3.22% (-0.351 -0.35)
2-3 @ 1.96% (-0.168 -0.17)
1-4 @ 1.13% (-0.181 -0.18)
0-4 @ 1.03% (-0.176 -0.18)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 40.41%

How you voted: Birmingham vs West Brom

Birmingham City
36.1%
Draw
23.6%
West Bromwich Albion
40.3%
72
Head to Head
Feb 10, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 31
Birmingham
2-0
West Brom
Mejbri (10'), Bielik (52')
Sep 14, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 10
West Brom
2-3
Birmingham
Wallace (23'), Thomas-Asante (83' pen.)
Hogan (14', 54', 72')
Apr 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 40
Birmingham
1-0
West Brom
Taylor (67' pen.)
Taylor (75'), Bacuna (85')

Livermore (75')
Oct 15, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 12
West Brom
1-0
Birmingham
Grant (75')
Clarke (72'), Grant (89')
Jul 31, 2021 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Birmingham
0-4
West Brom
Diangana (50'), Clarke (69'), Grant (73' pen.), Tulloch (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds27168351193256
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd27176438172155
3Burnley27141123192253
4Sunderland27149439221751
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2712693124742
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom27914433221141
7Middlesbrough27118844341041
8Watford27125103837141
9Bristol City2791083331237
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds27107103843-537
11Norwich CityNorwich279994339436
12Queens Park RangersQPR2781183034-435
13Swansea CitySwansea2797113033-334
14Coventry CityCoventry2788113537-232
15Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2788113041-1132
16Preston North EndPreston2761382834-631
17Millwall2679102424030
18Stoke CityStoke27610112533-828
19Derby CountyDerby2776143137-627
20Cardiff CityCardiff2769122941-1227
21Hull City2768132636-1026
22Portsmouth2668123245-1326
23Luton TownLuton2775152744-1726
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2749142555-3021


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