MX23RW : Tuesday, January 21 04:18:49| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Championship | Gameweek 7
Sep 19, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Deepdale
Birmingham logo

Preston
2 - 1
Birmingham

Bielik (51' og.), Osmajic (67')
Whatmough (48'), Osmajic (68')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Stansfield (46')
Bacuna (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Preston North End and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Preston North End 1-0 Birmingham City

Preston are currently in irrepressible form, and after winning all three league home games this season, we think that they will make full use of home advantage once again to edge out Birmingham in Tuesday's encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 42.53%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 30.38% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (9.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Preston North End would win this match.

Result
Preston North EndDrawBirmingham City
42.53% (3.676 3.68) 27.09% (-0.366 -0.37) 30.38% (-3.311 -3.31)
Both teams to score 49.31% (0.064 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.2% (0.561 0.56)55.79% (-0.561 -0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.08% (0.453 0.45)76.92% (-0.45299999999999 -0.45)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.05% (2.272 2.27)25.94% (-2.272 -2.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.05% (2.968 2.97)60.95% (-2.969 -2.97)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.58% (-2.02 -2.02)33.42% (2.02 2.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.95% (-2.278 -2.28)70.05% (2.278 2.28)
Score Analysis
    Preston North End 42.52%
    Birmingham City 30.38%
    Draw 27.09%
Preston North EndDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 11.69% (0.48 0.48)
2-1 @ 8.65% (0.435 0.44)
2-0 @ 7.89% (0.799 0.8)
3-1 @ 3.89% (0.425 0.43)
3-0 @ 3.55% (0.558 0.56)
3-2 @ 2.13% (0.125 0.13)
4-1 @ 1.31% (0.216 0.22)
4-0 @ 1.2% (0.251 0.25)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 42.52%
1-1 @ 12.82% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-0 @ 8.67% (-0.189 -0.19)
2-2 @ 4.74% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 27.09%
0-1 @ 9.5% (-0.757 -0.76)
1-2 @ 7.03% (-0.494 -0.49)
0-2 @ 5.21% (-0.736 -0.74)
1-3 @ 2.57% (-0.337 -0.34)
0-3 @ 1.9% (-0.392 -0.39)
2-3 @ 1.73% (-0.105 -0.11)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 30.38%

How you voted: Preston vs Birmingham

Preston North End
72.9%
Draw
18.8%
Birmingham City
8.3%
48
Head to Head
Jan 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 28
Birmingham
1-2
Preston
Ledson (10'), Browne (15')
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 8
Preston
0-1
Birmingham

Evans (83')
Colin (16')
Roberts (65'), Hogan (69'), James (90+5')
Jan 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 27
Preston
1-1
Birmingham
Bauer (31')
Whiteman (72')
Hogan (86')
Mengi (56')
Sep 25, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 9
Birmingham
0-0
Preston
Bela (45+1')
Bauer (39'), Storey (62'), Ledson (72')
Jan 20, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Birmingham
0-1
Preston

Friend (22'), Gardner (90')
Sinclair (61')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds27168351193256
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd27176438172155
3Burnley27141123192253
4Sunderland27149439221751
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2712693124742
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom27914433221141
7Middlesbrough27118844341041
8Watford27125103837141
9Bristol City2791083331237
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds27107103843-537
11Norwich CityNorwich279994339436
12Queens Park RangersQPR2781183034-435
13Swansea CitySwansea2797113033-334
14Coventry CityCoventry2788113537-232
15Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2788113041-1132
16Preston North EndPreston2761382834-631
17Millwall2679102424030
18Stoke CityStoke27610112533-828
19Derby CountyDerby2776143137-627
20Cardiff CityCardiff2769122941-1227
21Hull City2768132636-1026
22Portsmouth2668123245-1326
23Luton TownLuton2775152744-1726
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2749142555-3021


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