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Championship | Gameweek 12
Oct 1, 2022 at 3pm UK
Ewood Park
Millwall logo

Blackburn
2 - 1
Millwall

Dolan (57'), Brereton Diaz (63')
Morton (75')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Cooper (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Luton 2-0 Blackburn
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 2-1 Blackpool
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Blackburn Rovers 2-1 Millwall

Millwall head into this contest in the better form and will fancy their chances of edging out their hosts. Nevertheless, in a game between two clubs who have just one draw between them this season, we are backing Rovers to bounce back from their latest defeat with success in front of their own supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 50.42%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Millwall had a probability of 23.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.95%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.31%), while for a Millwall win it was 0-1 (8.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Blackburn Rovers in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Blackburn Rovers.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawMillwall
50.42% (-0.878 -0.88) 26.22% (0.423 0.42) 23.36% (0.454 0.45)
Both teams to score 46.63% (-0.68 -0.68)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.31% (-1.142 -1.14)56.69% (1.143 1.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.35% (-0.927 -0.93)77.65% (0.92700000000001 0.93)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.44% (-0.85899999999999 -0.86)22.56% (0.858 0.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.84% (-1.294 -1.29)56.16% (1.293 1.29)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.22% (-0.20800000000001 -0.21)39.78% (0.207 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.55% (-0.191 -0.19)76.45% (0.191 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 50.42%
    Millwall 23.36%
    Draw 26.22%
Blackburn RoversDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 13.36% (0.24 0.24)
2-0 @ 9.95% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)
2-1 @ 9.17% (-0.121 -0.12)
3-0 @ 4.94% (-0.166 -0.17)
3-1 @ 4.55% (-0.18 -0.18)
3-2 @ 2.1% (-0.095 -0.1)
4-0 @ 1.84% (-0.111 -0.11)
4-1 @ 1.69% (-0.113 -0.11)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 50.42%
1-1 @ 12.31% (0.15 0.15)
0-0 @ 8.98% (0.386 0.39)
2-2 @ 4.23% (-0.08 -0.08)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 26.22%
0-1 @ 8.27% (0.311 0.31)
1-2 @ 5.68% (0.04 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.81% (0.123 0.12)
1-3 @ 1.75% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.3% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.17% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 23.36%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Millwall

Blackburn Rovers
65.8%
Draw
21.1%
Millwall
13.2%
38
Head to Head
Mar 8, 2022 7.45pm
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Millwall
0-2
Blackburn

Woods (43'), Evans (77')
Dack (18'), Gallagher (75')
Brereton (56'), Gallagher (65'), Trybull (77'), Kaminski (85')
Dec 2, 2020 7.45pm
Jul 14, 2020 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1812422591638
2Burnley1810622361736
3Leeds UnitedLeeds18105331131835
4Sunderland1896326131333
5Middlesbrough1893632211130
6Watford189362624230
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom1861021912728
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn178452117428
9Norwich CityNorwich186753527825
10Millwall176742015525
11Bristol City186752421325
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds187472227-525
13Swansea CitySwansea186571817123
14Stoke CityStoke185671922-321
15Derby CountyDerby185582224-220
16Coventry CityCoventry184682427-318
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd184682028-818
18Preston North EndPreston183961725-818
19Luton TownLuton1853102033-1318
20Cardiff CityCardiff184591728-1117
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth184591838-2017
22Hull City183691726-915
23Queens Park RangersQPR182971526-1115
24Portsmouth162771830-1213


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