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Championship | Gameweek 8
Sep 3, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Den
Cardiff City logo

Millwall
2 - 0
Cardiff

Cresswell (63'), Afobe (90')
Styles (76'), Wallace (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Kipre (46'), Romeo (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burnley 2-0 Millwall
Tuesday, August 30 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 1-1 Cardiff City

With both sides struggling for form, we struggle to see one outclassing the other on Saturday and instead opt for a low-scoring draw at The Den. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 56.13%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 18.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.97%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (7.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.

Result
MillwallDrawCardiff City
56.13% (0.155 0.16) 25.64% (-0.165 -0.16) 18.23% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Both teams to score 41.6% (0.411 0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.28% (0.54000000000001 0.54)59.72% (-0.542 -0.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.97% (0.413 0.41)80.02% (-0.413 -0.41)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.6% (0.28700000000001 0.29)21.39% (-0.287 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.61% (0.441 0.44)54.38% (-0.441 -0.44)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.93% (0.33 0.33)47.07% (-0.33 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.46% (0.25 0.25)82.54% (-0.25 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 56.12%
    Cardiff City 18.23%
    Draw 25.64%
MillwallDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 15.52% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-0 @ 11.97% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.02% (0.057 0.06)
3-0 @ 6.16% (0.036 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.64% (0.07 0.07)
4-0 @ 2.37% (0.034 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.79% (0.042 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.75% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 56.12%
1-1 @ 11.7% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 10.07% (-0.2 -0.2)
2-2 @ 3.4% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 25.64%
0-1 @ 7.59% (-0.084 -0.08)
1-2 @ 4.41% (0.031 0.03)
0-2 @ 2.86% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 1.11% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 18.23%

How you voted: Millwall vs Cardiff

Millwall
60.7%
Draw
21.4%
Cardiff City
17.9%
28
Head to Head
Feb 12, 2022 3pm
Aug 21, 2021 3pm
Cardiff
3-1
Millwall
Flint (66', 70'), Morrison (83')
Flint (51'), Nelson (86')
Afobe (76')
Cooper (65')
Jan 30, 2021 3pm
Cardiff
1-1
Millwall
Moore (71')
Bennett (69'), Vaulks (76'), Morrison (84')
Flint (9' og.)
Nov 21, 2020 3pm
Dec 26, 2019 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Watford26115103637-138
9Bristol City2691073330337
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2678112941-1229
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Cardiff CityCardiff2659122641-1524
22Portsmouth2458113041-1123
23Hull City2658132536-1123
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2649132554-2921


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