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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
18 | Wigan Athletic | 6 | -3 | 7 |
19 | Millwall | 7 | -4 | 7 |
20 | Middlesbrough | 7 | -2 | 6 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
16 | Stoke City | 7 | -2 | 8 |
17 | Cardiff City | 7 | -2 | 8 |
18 | Wigan Athletic | 6 | -3 | 7 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 56.13%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 18.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.97%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (7.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.
Result | ||
Millwall | Draw | Cardiff City |
56.13% ( 0.16) | 25.64% ( -0.16) | 18.23% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 41.6% ( 0.41) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.28% ( 0.54) | 59.72% ( -0.54) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.97% ( 0.41) | 80.02% ( -0.41) |
Millwall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.6% ( 0.29) | 21.39% ( -0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.61% ( 0.44) | 54.38% ( -0.44) |
Cardiff City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.93% ( 0.33) | 47.07% ( -0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.46% ( 0.25) | 82.54% ( -0.25) |
Score Analysis |
Millwall | Draw | Cardiff City |
1-0 @ 15.52% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 11.97% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.02% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 6.16% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.64% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 2.37% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.79% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.75% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.9% Total : 56.12% | 1-1 @ 11.7% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 10.07% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 3.4% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.47% Total : 25.64% | 0-1 @ 7.59% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 4.41% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 2.86% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.27% Total : 18.23% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 48 | 19 | 29 | 53 |
2 | Burnley | 26 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 52 |
3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 17 | 19 | 52 |
4 | Sunderland | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39 | 22 | 17 | 50 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 41 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 26 | 9 | 13 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 40 |
7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 39 |
8 | Watford | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 38 |
9 | Bristol City | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 37 |
10 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 37 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 36 |
12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 34 |
13 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 26 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 32 |
14 | Millwall | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 30 |
15 | Preston North EndPreston | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 30 |
16 | Coventry CityCoventry | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 29 |
17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 29 |
18 | Derby CountyDerby | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 27 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 27 |
20 | Luton TownLuton | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 27 | 44 | -17 | 25 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 24 |
22 | Portsmouth | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 23 |
23 | Hull City | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 25 | 36 | -11 | 23 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 25 | 54 | -29 | 21 |
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