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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 48.06%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 27.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.45%) and 0-2 (8.08%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 1-0 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Ipswich Town in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Ipswich Town.
Result | ||
Bristol City | Draw | Ipswich Town |
27.4% ( -0.15) | 24.54% ( 0.28) | 48.06% ( -0.13) |
Both teams to score 55.42% ( -1.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.02% ( -1.31) | 46.99% ( 1.32) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.77% ( -1.24) | 69.23% ( 1.25) |
Bristol City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.95% ( -0.8) | 31.05% ( 0.8) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.63% ( -0.94) | 67.37% ( 0.95) |
Ipswich Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.38% ( -0.57) | 19.62% ( 0.58) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.43% ( -0.94) | 51.57% ( 0.94) |
Score Analysis |
Bristol City | Draw | Ipswich Town |
1-0 @ 7.12% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 6.79% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 4.17% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 2.65% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 1.62% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.9% Total : 27.4% | 1-1 @ 11.6% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 6.09% ( 0.33) 2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.14) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.54% | 0-1 @ 9.92% ( 0.37) 1-2 @ 9.45% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 8.08% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 5.13% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 4.39% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3% ( -0.13) 1-4 @ 2.09% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 1.79% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.99% Total : 48.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 29 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 53 | 19 | 34 | 60 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 58 |
3 | Burnley | 29 | 15 | 12 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 57 |
4 | Sunderland | 29 | 15 | 10 | 4 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 55 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 29 | 10 | 14 | 5 | 38 | 25 | 13 | 44 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 47 | 36 | 11 | 44 |
7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 42 |
8 | Bristol City | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 41 |
9 | Watford | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 40 | 41 | -1 | 41 |
10 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 41 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 48 | 42 | 6 | 39 |
12 | Coventry CityCoventry | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 39 | 38 | 1 | 38 |
13 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 29 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 38 |
14 | Millwall | 29 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 37 |
15 | Preston North EndPreston | 29 | 8 | 13 | 8 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 37 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 36 |
17 | Swansea CitySwansea | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 34 |
18 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 31 |
19 | Hull City | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 29 |
20 | Stoke CityStoke | 29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 29 |
21 | Portsmouth | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 29 |
22 | Derby CountyDerby | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 27 |
23 | Luton TownLuton | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 26 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 29 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 27 | 62 | -35 | 22 |
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