Championship | Gameweek 7
Sep 19, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
Bristol City4 - 1Plymouth
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Bristol City 0-0 West Brom
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Preston 2-1 Plymouth
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in Championship
We said: Bristol City 1-1 Plymouth Argyle
Plymouth are on a run of four defeats from five, while they have only drawn once in all competitions this season, but we are backing a stalemate here. Bristol City have shared the points in two of their last three Championship matches and might be forced to settle for another point on Tuesday night. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 42.1%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 32.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.89%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 1-2 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bristol City would win this match.
Result | ||
Bristol City | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
42.1% ( 1.5) | 24.93% ( -0.12) | 32.97% ( -1.38) |
Both teams to score 57.26% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.01% ( 0.19) | 45.99% ( -0.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.71% ( 0.18) | 68.29% ( -0.18) |
Bristol City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.16% ( 0.81) | 21.84% ( -0.81) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.94% ( 1.21) | 55.06% ( -1.22) |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.25% ( -0.74) | 26.74% ( 0.74) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.98% ( -0.99) | 62.02% ( 0.99) |
Score Analysis |
Bristol City 42.1%
Plymouth Argyle 32.97%
Draw 24.92%
Bristol City | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
2-1 @ 8.92% ( 0.17) 1-0 @ 8.89% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 6.76% ( 0.27) 3-1 @ 4.52% ( 0.19) 3-0 @ 3.43% ( 0.21) 3-2 @ 2.98% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.72% ( 0.11) 4-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.11) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.44% Total : 42.1% | 1-1 @ 11.71% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.88% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.84% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.92% | 1-2 @ 7.73% ( -0.21) 0-1 @ 7.7% ( -0.23) 0-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.26) 1-3 @ 3.4% ( -0.17) 2-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.17) 1-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.13% Total : 32.97% |
How you voted: Bristol City vs Plymouth
Bristol City
53.7%Draw
26.8%Plymouth Argyle
19.5%41
Head to Head
Jul 16, 2022 3pm
Jul 27, 2021 6pm
Aug 14, 2018 7.45pm
Aug 8, 2017 7.45pm
First Round
Bristol City
5-0
Plymouth
Mar 16, 2010 3pm
Form Guide